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To: Shack who wrote (90111)1/25/2004 6:38:45 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 209892
 
4 year cycles - post from Brian on my board
The 4-Year cycle bottomed in 1998 and in 2002, with the high of that cycle hitting the 2000 top. The current 4-year cycle is scheduled to top in 2004 some time, and bottom around 2006.

There have been a few times when the length of the cycle has been stretched to 5 or 6 years, or shorted to 3 years, but it has been it has been amazingly consistent over the last 100 years. During raging bull markets however, the high of the cycle rarely lead to a market high, but the low of the cycle always seemed to have an effect.

Below are charts with cycle highs and lows for the Dow from 1900-2004 (if you hold your cursor over the picture, click the icon to enlarge):

tinyurl.com
tinyurl.com
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2006 seems to fit with the EW picture as well. I honestly can't wait to be comfortably long again.

Brian