To: laura_bush who wrote (36287 ) 1/26/2004 9:37:40 AM From: stockman_scott Respond to of 89467 "Daily Kos"dailykos.com Watson & Novak by Tom Schaller Mon Jan 26th, 2004 at 00:20:38 GMT The giant red-brick warehouse along the western edge of the Merrimack River in Manchester is, I gather, mostly empty but for the political season. There's a bingo hall on the ground floor, and a few business offices. Right now, however, it is hub of activity because it is not only home to both the Kerry and Dean headquarters but, on the top floor, the location for CNN's on-site studio. I peeked in to see if I could get a few minutes to catch up with Carlos Watson. If the name rings a bell, but you cannot place his face, Carlos is a 30-something, African American emerging TV pundit. He is apparently being paired with Bob Novak for several segments between now and Tuesday night. I've gotten to know Carlos well, and his is an interesting background. (If you google him, you'll find a bio about him in his role as host on an MSNBC show called The Edge, which may now be defunct.) In any case, Carlos is really trying to distinguish himself by bringing some new angles to the broadcast coverage, rather than the regurgitated, least-common-denominator stuff that often clutters the airwaves. Keep an eye on him. While waiting for Carlos to finish a practice session - I didn't know the TV folks did dress rehearsals of what's supposed to look like completely extemp material, but I guess I'm naïve - I dropped in on Bob Novak, who was reading over some printed clips at a table nearby. He was nice enough to let me bounce a few questions and scenarios off him: TS: What's Dean's comeback scenario? RN: I believe he really has to win New Hampshire. If he can't win here, where is he going to win? If he were to make this comeback, it would regenerate his campaign. But even then, can he put the kind of effort next week in seven states? They cannot put that kind of resources into all seven. TS: Is second place here a win for Edwards? RN: Oh yes, second place is a big win for him. He would have one of the best tickets coming out of New Hampshire. TS: Can Edwards then somehow muddle through February 3 to make it to the Virginia and Tennessee the following week? RN: It isn't a matter of muddling through. It's that he doesn't have the time. Let's say Kerry wins here. Edwards has a week. He's really a victim of the shorter calendar. Back when there was three weeks between Iowa and New Hampshire, there used to be enough spacing, to catch your breath. The system is against him. TS: Can the Democrats forgo the South and still win? (This was my selfish question.) RN: I think it makes it hard to do. The South is so racially divided. Segregation is gone. But the Republicans are the white man's party. The Democrats need to give Republicans a challenge on certain issues, [especially gun control]. But it's a lot of turf to concede. TS: Can Bush be beaten? And do you think that the anybody-but-Bush sentiment is helping unify Democrats to beat him? RN: He can lose. But to tell you the truth, I thought the Democrats were more unified in 2000. TS: What about the internal problems within the Republican Party? RN: It is a problem. When you have a 100 members of the Republican House complaining about the president's policies, you've got problems. This is not three or four. We're talking about more than a 100.