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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: glenn_a who wrote (6381)1/28/2004 7:19:44 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
Is this a fair analysis in your opinion?

Regards,
Glenn


Absolutely 100% dead on.
Corporate bonds and junk bonds are not priced for risk.
Is there a risk of default on US bonds?
If so put every damn thing you have in gold and silver.
Actually I believe that risk is there, but we are nowhere close to the breaking point.

M



To: glenn_a who wrote (6381)1/28/2004 9:02:13 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
mish answered for me <g>

I do agree it is more like the 1930's, but still some differences ... I do expect dividend yields to rise on stocks ... the only way they possibly can (lower stock prices).

Tech notwithstanding -- I'm not sure we've not crashed yet -- as far as equities are concerned ... but I do think it is possible -- even though a supposedly low probability event <g>