To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (356 ) 1/31/2004 10:09:04 AM From: ChinuSFO Respond to of 81568 Ann, if Dean fails to get delegates on Tuesday, do you think he should stay in the race? Not sure what Wisconsin will do for him.Kerry's momentum leaving rivals in dust By ALAN FREEMAN From Saturday's Globe and Mail UPDATED AT 1:46 AM EST Saturday, Jan. 31, 2004 Columbia, S.C. — Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts has taken a commanding lead in opinion polls in two key states in the run-up to Tuesday's primary votes for the Democratic presidential nomination, as his rivals struggle to stay in contention. Capitalizing on the momentum of his two big victories in Iowa and New Hampshire, Mr. Kerry continues to rack up high-profile endorsements and attract broad support in the seven states that hold primaries and caucuses on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the campaign of anti-war candidate and former front-runner Howard Dean continues to flounder. "Kerry's double victories have clearly propelled him into front-runner status," said pollster John Zogby, who released tracking polls yesterday from four states taken this week. "Kerry has huge leads in Missouri and Arizona. "He is running competitively in the other two states [Oklahoma and North Carolina]. And, as of now, he looks like the only candidate who will emerge from all four states with delegates." In Missouri, the most populous of the states that vote on Tuesday, the 60-year-old Mr. Kerry is leading by a wide margin with 45 per cent of decided voters backing him. North Carolina Senator John Edwards is a distant second with only 11 per cent. In Arizona, Mr. Kerry is leading with 38-per-cent support, against 17 per cent for retired general Wesley Clark, who is making his first attempt at political office. Gen. Clark is doing better in Oklahoma, where he leads Mr. Kerry by 27 per cent to 19 per cent. Even in South Carolina, the home state of Mr. Edwards, Mr. Kerry is virtually tied for the lead. Mr. Edwards has 25 per cent of decided voters to Mr. Kerry's 24 per cent, according to the Zogby poll. Of the four states surveyed, Mr. Dean scored his best with 12 per cent in Arizona, attracting only 9 per cent in each of the other three. The former Vermont governor has basically written off winning anywhere on Tuesday, cutting off TV ads in all seven states and turning his attention to later primaries in Michigan and Wisconsin. The 700,000-member Communications Workers of America and the 157,000-member Michigan Education Association, that state's largest teachers union, both threw their support behind Mr. Kerry yesterday. Mr. Zogby predicted that Mr. Dean, who only a month ago was seen by many as a shoo-in for the Democratic nomination, could emerge from Tuesday's seven contests with not a single delegate chosen. Also voting on Tuesday are New Mexico, Delaware and North Dakota. (The primaries and caucuses are held to select delegates to the Democratic convention in Boston in July.) With Mr. Kerry's lead ever stronger, Republicans have begun perusing his four-term voting record in the Senate and finding it wanting. Ed Gillespie, chairman of the Republican National Committee, has praised Mr. Kerry's record as a navy lieutenant in Vietnam but added that "his long record in the Senate is one of advocating policies that would undermine our national security," citing Mr. Kerry's vote against the 1991 Persian Gulf war. "Republicans are scared stiff," Mr. Kerry responded yesterday. "That's why they are sending their attack dogs out." With a lead that looks unassailable, Mr. Kerry is also facing criticism from his six Democratic rivals. Gen. Clark, speaking to a mainly black college audience in Columbia yesterday, attacked Mr. Kerry for remarks he made 12 years ago in which he said that affirmative action had encouraged "a culture of dependency." Gen. Clark challenged him to accept "responsibility for what he said in the past." Mr. Kerry said later there have been questions about how affirmative action was being used and said he agreed with former president Bill Clinton's aim to "mend it, not end it." During a debate Thursday evening, Mr. Dean attacked Mr. Kerry for failing to accomplish much in terms of health-care reform, saying: "I think we need a doer, not a talker, as the nominee of this party." Mr. Kerry replied that he had backed many health bills that did not include his name as a co-sponsor.globeandmail.ca