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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (6525)1/30/2004 1:03:25 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
you asked me about lower rates in EZ - summary

German retail sales lower
Sales slipped 2.3 percent from November, when they fell a revised 3.4 percent, the Federal Statistics Office said in Wiesbaden. Economists had expected an increase of 0.5 percent, the median of 16 forecasts showed in a Bloomberg News survey. Sales declined 2.5 percent from the year-earlier period.

quote.bloomberg.com;

French unemployment higher by 11,000 (60,000 if in the US)

Net result - EUR rallying over 100 pips from a low of 1.2365 to 1.2490 by 17:35 GMT

This is monkey's logic or in other words plain manipulation

"There is clearly a growing recovery (in the euro zone) at the moment," European Monetary Affairs Commissioner Pedro Solbes said on Friday. "The strong appreciation of the euro, if it continues, could undermine business confidence and reduce competitiveness," he said. "It is probable the recent strength in the euro could affect the growth of exports and economic activity will be boosted by a recovery in internal demand".

reuters.com



To: mishedlo who wrote (6525)1/30/2004 1:03:58 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
any clue on what drove a 19% increase in US Exports? jw



To: mishedlo who wrote (6525)1/30/2004 1:11:01 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
big story since FOMC output is the JYEN

they blew $70 billion in futile defense during January
BOJ fiat clowns promised to squander $400B in 2004
well guys, you used up 17.5% of your budget in one month !!!

JYEN at 94.5 now
it was in 94-95 range before the meeting
it touched 95, then shot down to 94
now back to midrange

with unfinished import prices up 20% in two years, we now have seen the advent of imported Asian price inflation

with finished import prices up 7% since last summer,
we now have stage#1 which I referred to in previous articles
Asian suppliers are absorbing some of the initial exchange rate cost increases
on stage#2, they will pass them along

we have a FOREX clusterfuch coming with the JYEN
it should lead all Asians to correct upwards
including the CHinese yuan

/ jim