To: Roebear who wrote (7033 ) 1/30/2004 1:51:11 PM From: Jim Willie CB Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108928 thoughts on upcoming G-7 Meeting by Chris Temple While yet another knee-jerk reaction to the GNP number could come, two meetings loom which in the grand scheme of things will tell us far more about what to expect for the foreseeable future. The first is the G-7 meeting scheduled for February 6-7 in Florida. The fur is expected to fly over how the dollar’s essentially unchecked decline has threatened Europe’s exports, as it has led to record highs in the euro versus the dollar. Incredibly, though, the U.S. might end up largely as a spectator, as Europe seems to be far more upset with both Japan and China than it is with Uncle Sam! Apparently resigned to a prolonged weakening in the dollar, Europe will be making the case that it should not be bearing the brunt of the dollar’s decline virtually alone. It will browbeat Japan for intervening so heavily to keep the yen’s ascent against the dollar relatively modest. It will also (as Washington has already been doing) throw rhetorical barbs at China for “unfairly” keeping its currency, the yuan, pegged to the dollar. China won’ t have to endure any of this in person, but Japan will. I won’t even hazard a guess as to what might come out of this latest gathering of the world’s most notable financial ministers and assorted other pooh-bahs. Remember, though, that it was the LAST G-7 meeting several months ago that actually helped to solidify the dollar’s bear market. My gut tells me that something different will come out of them this time; but just what-and how the markets will react-is unknown. I have to believe, however, that traders will be hesitant to make any major bets one way or another right now. www.nationalinvestor.com / jim