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To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (27392)2/1/2004 2:16:29 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793939
 
CAMPAIGN JOURNAL
OUT OF IOWA
by Philip Gourevitch
New Yorker

On the eve of the Iowa caucuses, Teresa Heinz Kerry told a rally of more than a thousand Democrats at the state fairgrounds in Des Moines that she “felt very at home” in Iowa. “It’s almost like where I grew up,” she said, which was startling, because her husband, the senator and Presidential candidate John Kerry, had just told the crowd that she grew up in Mozambique. Like many Americans, she is a naturalized citizen, and in her childhood knew America only “as an ideal,” Kerry said. She “never saw her father vote till he was seventy-one years old, because they lived in a dictatorship.”

The Senator was losing his voice. He resorted frequently to a water bottle, but his throat refused to produce anything more than a ragged stage whisper. Still, he sounded positively stentorian in comparison with his wife. Although she held the mike close, her words, tinged with a lilting Portuguese accent, never rose above a breathy murmur. The audience fell silent and listened as if eavesdropping on a private soliloquy.

Heinz Kerry, who inherited a vast fortune from her first husband, John Heinz, the ketchup heir and a Republican senator from Pennsylvania, is known for the surprising turns of her unscripted public pronouncements. She can be nearly as unbuttoned in her speech as Kerry is buttoned up in his, with the result that she is sometimes impolitic and always worth listening to. Now she pursued her unlikely comparison of Iowa and Africa, finding that the Hawkeye state measured up well against the mother continent. There was “the earthiness” of the Iowans, and there was the “sparse, very clean, very beautiful” landscape, and there were the little farming towns with their churches, just like the settlements known as “dorps” in southern Africa. She liked the word “dorps”; it seemed to make Iowa more real to her.

Never mind that Iowa’s population is ninety-four per cent white and that the place is harrowingly cold in January. Teresa Heinz Kerry had a larger point to make. She had spent a lot of time in Iowa, stumping for her husband, and, despite the comforting sense of familiarity, she said, “I was shy in the beginning.” She hadn’t been able to articulate why she was resistant to politicking until John Norris, Kerry’s campaign manager in Iowa, who helped organize post-communist elections in Macedonia, told her that the biggest challenge there had been getting newly democratized politicians to come out and ask people to support them. “I realized that deep inside here I am still afraid of a turnaround in the political system where you get punished or you lose your job or get sent to jail,” she said. “Even though I’m not afraid to stand up myself, I was shy about asking people to vote.”

The candidate’s wife had come to praise Iowa, but her initial unease with the Democratic nominating system there was well founded. After all, Iowans don’t actually vote in January. They caucus, and caucuses cannot be said to meet the fundamental standards by which elections are judged free and fair elsewhere in the country, or throughout the world. Iowans must gather at a fixed time on caucus day—six-thirty in the evening—in an open room, where they express their political preference publicly. If a candidate receives the nod from fewer than fifteen per cent of those present, the people who supported him engage in a political version of musical chairs, crossing the room to choose another candidate, or declaring themselves undecided, or just leaving.

Gordon Fischer, Iowa’s Democratic Party chairman, has likened the caucus procedure to a session of “sixth-grade gym.” But why put down sixth graders? The caucuses are directly at odds with the principles of one person, one vote and the secret ballot, which are—our electoral college notwithstanding—held sacrosanct in almost every democracy on earth. Not surprisingly, voter participation in caucuses is consistently low. Dan Herndon, a retired Methodist minister who was attending a rally for John Edwards in Waterloo, Iowa, said that his son was working an evening job and his wife was out of town. “So essentially both of them are disenfranchised,” Herndon said, adding, “The elderly, people who have trouble going out at night, and people who don’t like to talk in groups or be part of groups are also disenfranchised. It’s not the ideal system.”

If an election in a Third World country—let’s say, Mozambique—were conducted like an Iowa caucus, it might well be condemned by international monitors as a gross human-rights violation. As it happened, on the same day that Iowans went to stand for their candidates in town halls, churches, fire stations, and, yes, sixth-grade gyms, a hundred thousand Iraqis took their stand in the streets of Baghdad, protesting the Bush Administration’s attempt to impose a caucus-driven electoral system on them. They wanted one Iraqi, one vote.

Iowans claim, in defense of their peculiar, and disproportionately influential, ritual for picking presidential candidates, that their habit of producing surprising outcomes proves the system’s freeness and fairness. The public, disputatious nature of the caucuses is celebrated as evidence of civic vitality and the glory of an open society. This year, Democrats who considered Howard Dean a liability to the Party’s hope of reclaiming the White House are inclined to agree. They are talking about what happened in Iowa as a flowering of political sanity. Perhaps the caucus system ain’t so bad, they say. But it’s not the system that deserves credit. If you like and trust Iowans’ political judgment, why not afford them the opportunities other Americans enjoy? Next time around, give them the vote.



To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (27392)2/1/2004 2:41:06 PM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793939
 
Kerry was one of 15 Senators who voted in favor of Gay Marriage? Yes, it will hurt.

Kerry's Achilles' Heel

Exclusive commentary by Chad Allen
The Washington Dispatch

Jan 30, 2004

In all likelihood, it appears that Senator John Kerry will become the democratic presidential nominee, barring a Kerry-like resurrection by the Dean campaign or multiple victories by the Edwards campaign next week.

Senator Kerry seemingly matches up relatively well against President Bush and could have significant appeal to the moderate voting bloc, at least that was the thinking of primary voters in Iowa and New Hampshire earlier this month. Democrats point to Kerry’s distinguished military record and his “moderate” votes on NAFTA, welfare overhaul, and some tax policies, especially those dealing with investments, as evidence that Kerry has the military gravitas to lead and political views that are in touch with America.

While Kerry’s 19-year voting record dating back to the Reagan years will be picked apart by the Bush campaign, assuming Kerry receives the democratic nod, there’s one vote and one issue that could be Kerry’s Achilles’ heel. In 1996, Senator John Kerry voted against the “Defense of Marriage Act”, which banned federal recognition of same-sex “marriages” and gave states the ability to refuse recognition of gay “marriages” from other states. Only 14 other senators, all of them democrats, joined Senator Kerry.

This vote had virtually no political effect upon Kerry in his liberal home state of Massachusetts. It would also pose little problems for Kerry in New England during the presidential election. Recall that George W. Bush only received four electoral votes in New England, winning New Hampshire by less than 8,000 votes. While most New England, Upper Atlantic Coast, and West Coast voters, which represent a large majority of the democratic “Blue States”, will not look at Kerry negatively for this vote, it’s in the vitally important South and Midwest where this vote could crush the Kerry campaign.

In the 2000 presidential election, George Bush received 211 of his 271 electoral votes, or nearly 80%, from states in the South or Midwest. Leading democratic strategists and presidential contenders have been emphatic in stating that whomever wins the democratic nomination must have a better showing in the South and Midwest than Al Gore did four years ago in order to recapture the White House.

The problem for Kerry is that most of the voters in these states are moderately to deeply religious and are adamantly opposed to gay “marriage”. In an O’Leary Report/Zogby International poll conducted last month of likely voters from “Red” and “Blue” states, 70% of Red State voters stated that marriage should be confined to a man and woman. Furthermore, only 25% of Red State respondents supported the idea of civil unions. Senator Kerry has stated that he backs the concept of civil unions.

In the Bible Belt, which encompasses many of the Red States, religion and its guidance on political/social issues tends to trump in importance any other issues in presidential elections and will likely do so again this year. Of course, chief among these issues is abortion, as democrats have lost thousands if not millions of votes over the past three decades in the Red States solely due to their pro-abortion stances. Voting against the “Defense of Marriage Act” was akin to voting against bans on abortions to voters in these states and it is sure to cost Kerry critical votes. (Incidentally, Senator Kerry’s record on abortion will also hurt him in the Red States, as he carries a 0% rating with the National Right to Life and voted against a ban upon partial-birth abortions on three occasions.)

Social conservatives in these states, many of whom are democrats, see gay marriage and civil unions as an attack on the family. The same O’Leary/Zogby report found that only 10% of voters in Red States are single. Therefore, any issues that are deemed to influence the family, either positively or negatively, are likely to be key issues in these electorally valuable states.

With a Kerry nomination, the Democratic Party will continue to fight an uphill battle in the South and among other Red State voters to overcome the perception that the Party is not religion and family friendly. While the War on Terror and the economy will be viewed as the kingpin issues of the presidential campaign, if the race is close, then gay marriage could be the tiebreaker issue in the Midwest and the South. If so, it could cost John Kerry the White House.
washingtondispatch.com



To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (27392)2/1/2004 8:17:52 PM
From: John Carragher  Respond to of 793939
 
I watched the interview and enjoyed every minute of it.. I hope he makes a come back and makes this a race yet.