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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (6767)2/2/2004 7:20:06 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 110194
 
it is hard to weigh priorities of US$ against your list
of jobs, wage growth, housing, etc

if the US$ continues at this rate downhill, Asian credit supply will soon be threatened

that is why I think we may see some rate hikes, followed by some rate cuts, then hikes again, then cuts again, until we stabilize

I DO NOT EXPECT ANY STABILITY TO COME

unsure that slower growth will stem the commodity price hikes though
not as long as the Fed monetary press continues to pump
what we have is the Fed pumping, and banks extending credits, the results of which lead to Asian surpluses

the surpluses are then used to demand commodities
whether SAmerican copper or US food or Canadian gas or MidEast oil

what few realize is that our US money press is feeding the commodity price demand
just like Puplava predicted two years ago

I dont think a slower economy will take care of anything on the commodity price issue

the best proof that the USEconomy is not growing shit, is that the Fed will not raise rates
no job growth
steady loss of mfg jobs

I return to my other point
the Fed reflation program is accelerating the job outsourcing, by increasing costs of production across the board

slow the Fed monetary expansion, and it all falls apart
continue the Fed expansion, and the cost equation screws us while jobs continue the exodus

NO WAY OUT
/ jim