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To: Les H who wrote (9847)	2/5/2004 7:44:04 PM
From: Les H	Respond to of 29594

<font size=2> Banks (120 stocks) BKX Amex Banking Index and RKH Regional Bank Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market BKX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 5 983 27 45 55 92 58 1.42 _Feb 4 986 19 44 54 91 -47 1.61 _Feb 3 991 41 58 65 95 -75 1.79 _Feb 2 993 45 61 65 93 -77 1.91 _Jan 30 993 40 56 66 93 -62 2.02 _Jan 29 992 43 60 67 94 47 2.14 _Jan 28 988 50 61 70 95 76 2.28 DOWN _Jan 27 1005 75 75 77 97 92 2.52 _Jan 26 1013 87 82 83 98 94 2.49 _Jan 23 998 72 70 74 97 96 2.29 _Jan 22 1002 63 62 66 96 99 2.25 _Jan 21 1003 81 75 76 97 100 2.11 _Jan 20 988 72 68 72 97 98 1.89 Oil & Gas Drillers, Field Services, and Equipment (54 stocks) OSX Amex Oil Services Index and OIH Oil Services Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market OSX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 5 99 15 41 72 85 58 4.20 _Feb 4 101 19 46 70 83 76 4.67 _Feb 3 101 28 56 76 87 86 4.96 _Feb 2 102 41 67 83 87 90 5.25 _Jan 30 101 39 69 83 87 92 5.35 _Jan 29 102 54 67 85 87 97 5.61 _Jan 28 102 67 76 89 93 99 5.71 DOWN _Jan 27 104 83 83 93 94 100 5.72 _Jan 26 104 91 93 94 96 100 5.39 _Jan 23 103 87 89 94 96 100 4.89 _Jan 22 99 72 80 94 87 98 4.35 _Jan 21 100 91 91 94 93 81 4.29 _Jan 20 100 83 89 94 93 64 3.90 UP Retailers (223 stocks) RLX Amex Retailing Index and RTH Retailers Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market RLX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 5 381 43 47 61 81 33 0.38 UP _Feb 4 376 31 43 60 78 -21 0.23 _Feb 3 375 43 52 66 82 -38 0.25 _Feb 2 375 40 55 66 81 -54 0.30 _Jan 30 375 33 52 66 79 -39 0.38 _Jan 29 375 30 50 63 81 43 0.48 _Jan 28 371 25 46 61 80 76 0.62 DOWN _Jan 27 381 60 70 73 85 99 0.95 _Jan 26 384 75 78 73 87 93 0.92 _Jan 23 383 72 76 72 86 81 0.73 _Jan 22 383 69 73 70 86 57 0.52 _Jan 21 378 77 76 70 85 61 0.28 UP _Jan 20 373 64 70 68 83 72 0.18 DOWN Drugs (89 stocks) DRG Philadelphia Pharma Index and PPH Pharmaceutical Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market DRG 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 5 350 44 52 70 75 100 2.54 _Feb 4 349 40 49 73 78 92 2.38 _Feb 3 347 46 61 77 77 80 2.20 _Feb 2 344 38 58 76 77 69 2.06 UP _Jan 30 340 39 55 76 78 69 1.98 DOWN _Jan 29 342 44 66 78 80 70 2.05 UP _Jan 28 340 50 66 78 80 71 2.01 _Jan 27 341 72 77 84 82 72 2.07 DOWN _Jan 26 344 81 81 84 81 82 2.09 UP _Jan 23 338 73 81 84 81 91 1.91 DOWN _Jan 22 340 73 77 85 81 94 1.95 _Jan 21 340 76 80 85 81 96 1.88 UP _Jan 20 334 72 72 84 80 94 1.79 link to January data Message 19753800 </font>

To: Les H who wrote (9847)	2/6/2004 7:40:04 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29594

9-month cycle Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001 _ cycle tendencies _ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A. Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81 Dec 26 red yellow yellow 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54 Jan 21, 03 green yellow yellow 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66 Feb 18 yellow red red 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84 Mar 12 red red red 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63 Apr 7 green green green 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101 May 2 yellow green green 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67 May 28 red yellow yellow 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47 Jun 23 green yellow yellow 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69 Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53 Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40 Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58 Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45 Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64 Nov 17 green yellow yellow 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46 Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52 Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58 Feb 2 green green red 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40 Mar 8 yellow green red 1143 + 8 1143 + 8 1124 - 11 19 Mar 24 red yellow red Apr 19 green yellow green May 14 yellow red green Jun 9 red red yellow Jul 6 green green yellow Jul 30 yellow green red Aug 25 red yellow red Sep 20 green yellow green Oct 15 yellow red green Nov 10 red red green 22-week cycle Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11) Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4) Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3) May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1) Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4) Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7) Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2) Mar 10-14, 03 77 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11) May 27-30, 03 11 weeks high 965 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7) Aug 11-15, 03 22 weeks trough flat 990 next high 1053 on Oct 31 (week 11) Oct 27-31, 03 11 weeks high 1051 next high 1137 on Jan 16 (week 11) Jan 12-16, 04 22 weeks trough high 1137 next high 1155 on Jan 27 (week 2) Mar 29-02, 04 55 weeks trough Jun 14-18, 04 11 weeks Aug 30-03, 04 77 weeks trough Nov 15-19, 04 11 weeks 26-week Dow cycle troughs Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379 Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks sample size 10 Spring sample 6 Fall sample 4 total 253 weeks total 132 weeks total 121 weeks average 25 weeks average 22 weeks average 30 weeks st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks next approximate Dow trough Dec 24, 03 20 weeks minimum length in sample Jan 28, 04 25 weeks average length in sample Mar 3, 04 30 weeks average length in Fall sample Mar 24, 04 33 weeks 55-week low source of dates timeanddate.com

To: Les H who wrote (9847)	2/6/2004 8:11:28 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29594

<font size=2> Banks (120 stocks) BKX Amex Banking Index and RKH Regional Bank Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market BKX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 6 999 65 68 73 93 79 1.46 UP _Feb 5 983 27 45 55 92 58 1.42 _Feb 4 986 19 44 54 91 -47 1.61 _Feb 3 991 41 58 65 95 -75 1.79 _Feb 2 993 45 61 65 93 -77 1.91 _Jan 30 993 40 56 66 93 -62 2.02 _Jan 29 992 43 60 67 94 47 2.14 _Jan 28 988 50 61 70 95 76 2.28 DOWN _Jan 27 1005 75 75 77 97 92 2.52 _Jan 26 1013 87 82 83 98 94 2.49 Oil & Gas Drillers, Field Services, and Equipment (54 stocks) OSX Amex Oil Services Index and OIH Oil Services Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market OSX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 6 100 22 50 72 85 40 3.87 _Feb 5 99 15 41 72 85 58 4.20 _Feb 4 101 19 46 70 83 76 4.67 _Feb 3 101 28 56 76 87 86 4.96 _Feb 2 102 41 67 83 87 90 5.25 _Jan 30 101 39 69 83 87 92 5.35 _Jan 29 102 54 67 85 87 97 5.61 _Jan 28 102 67 76 89 93 99 5.71 DOWN _Jan 27 104 83 83 93 94 100 5.72 _Jan 26 104 91 93 94 96 100 5.39 Retailers (223 stocks) RLX Amex Retailing Index and RTH Retailers Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market RLX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 6 387 70 67 72 82 54 0.70 _Feb 5 381 43 47 61 81 33 0.38 UP _Feb 4 376 31 43 60 78 -21 0.23 _Feb 3 375 43 52 66 82 -38 0.25 _Feb 2 375 40 55 66 81 -54 0.30 _Jan 30 375 33 52 66 79 -39 0.38 _Jan 29 375 30 50 63 81 43 0.48 _Jan 28 371 25 46 61 80 76 0.62 DOWN _Jan 27 381 60 70 73 85 99 0.95 _Jan 26 384 75 78 73 87 93 0.92 Drugs (89 stocks) DRG Philadelphia Pharma Index and PPH Pharmaceutical Holders _ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase _ market DRG 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change _---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------ _Feb 6 351 56 64 78 75 100 2.69 _Feb 5 350 44 52 70 75 100 2.54 _Feb 4 349 40 49 73 78 92 2.38 _Feb 3 347 46 61 77 77 80 2.20 _Feb 2 344 38 58 76 77 69 2.06 UP _Jan 30 340 39 55 76 78 69 1.98 DOWN _Jan 29 342 44 66 78 80 70 2.05 UP _Jan 28 340 50 66 78 80 71 2.01 _Jan 27 341 72 77 84 82 72 2.07 DOWN _Jan 26 344 81 81 84 81 82 2.09 UP link to January data Message 19753800 </font>