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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (68528)	2/5/2004 7:15:11 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

You mean, this? finance.yahoo.com The nasdaq is more than twice lower than the peak in 2000, and the fund that is twice short it... is MUCH lower. Market-neutral funds may be good, if they are run well. I have a taste for long-dated OOM puts on the market. You can risk with just 10% of $$$. If it crashes, VXN will push the price of these puts into stratosphere. So, some of my own $$$ is going into JAN 2006 OOM QQQ puts. But puts do have an expiration, as we all know :(. The other way is futures shorting, but it's also very risky. The advantage is... you don't have to borrow shares, and you don't have to have upticks. You also don't have to take on excessive risk - you can, in futures, but it's up to you. I mean, honestly - what's wrong with gold? HUI increased 700% from the bottom. That's almost the same as the move of SP during entire bull market! But it's a speculation vehicle... First thing first - if you want safety, it's gold and silver, or gold and silver fund (CEF) - holding physical. Also, on Kitco.com, you can have a pool account to invest in metals directly. This will provide protection against the dollar slide. And, if you don't need protection against it, you can keep $$ in dollars! I also really love silver and silver stocks. Silver above ground is running out, and is already close to zero, so there will soon be no silver in the coffers to satisfy demand. This means the metal will shoot up, at least temporarily (look at the historical chart of rhodium, on kitco.com, to see what I mean). The bull market in silver itself will outpace gold more than 3:1, I believe. I think it will really shoot straight up! It is quite possible that silver will triple this year.... There are only a few pure silver plays. CDE, SSRI, PAAS, HL, AEM, SIL are some, there are others. These stocks will behave like internuts, naturally. How long will silver stay in stratosphere? Probably, not that long, but it could be good 2-3 years, since it takes time to ramp up production. Actually, if DEFLATION hits, silver may stay up there LONGER, because it is mostly a byproduct of base metal mining.