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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (536108)2/5/2004 4:52:54 PM
From: Gus  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 769670
 
Yawn! Let's do the math.

Liberal Yale economist Ray Fair has perfected a model that predicts election outcomes. Recently, his model has been re-estimated by the well-respected Macroeconomic Advisors of St. Louis. Both models came within a few tenths of a percent of accurately predicting the popular vote in 2000. Taking into account today's strong economy, both predict a Bush victory with roughly 60 percent of the vote come November.

townhall.com

Plug and play with your own numbers:

fairmodel.econ.yale.edu

QTR GDP* Administration
<font color=red>
1Q00 1.0% Clinton
2Q00 6.4% Clinton
3Q00 (0.5%) Clinton
4Q00 2.1% Clinton
</font><font color=blue>
1Q01 (0.2%) Bush
2Q01 (0.6%) Bush
3Q01 (1.3%) Bush
4Q01 2.0% Bush
1Q02 4.7% Bush
2Q02 1.9% Bush
3Q02 3.4% Bush
4Q02 1.3% Bush
1Q03 2.0% Bush
2Q03 3.1% Bush
3Q03 8.2% Bush
4Q03 4.0% Bush

*Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
</font>
bea.gov



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (536108)2/5/2004 5:22:22 PM
From: Bill  Respond to of 769670
 
"I plan to vote Republican this time. The Democrats left a bad taste in my mouth."

- Monica Lewinski