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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: software salesperson who wrote (10307)2/5/2004 9:14:33 PM
From: A.J. Mullen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
No worries, maybe I was splitting hairs.

And, since you asked,...with regard to 50 people each of whom had a 60% probability of being right, then the chances of just being right, ie having 26 people right and 24 wrong are (from high school):
0.6**26*0.4**24*50!/(26!*24!)
(Notation 4!= 4*3*2*1, and 4**3= 4*4*4)
The probability of a simple majority being correct is that number summed with the probability that exactly 27 (28, 39...50) people would be right.

You didn't want a number did you?