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Gold/Mining/Energy : Canadian Diamond Play Cafi -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Letmebe Frank who wrote (1818)2/10/2004 10:35:02 AM
From: Letmebe Frank  Respond to of 16203
 
DSEL posted this finanacial analysis of TAH:

This is some DD on that I did on TAH. I gathered some info from the Tahera website and did a future earnings calculation/ valuation.

This info was taken from the www.tahera.com website.

Total Resource= 7,100,000 tonnes @ 0.84 cpt
Mineral Reserve= 2,600,000 tonnes @ 1.2 cpt
Total carats produced over 8 year mine life= 3,115,000 carats
Operating cost /carat= Cdn$56/carat
Total project capital= Cdn$65,403,000
Diamond valuation= US$92/carat (WWW modeled diamond valuation)
No. of shares fully diluted= 547,600,000

From the above info can calculate the following:

Operating cost /tonne= (Cdn$56/carat x 3,115,000 carats)/2,600,000 tonnes= Cdn$67/tonne at 1.30 exchange rate equates to US$51.61/tonne

Total project capital= Cdn$65,403,000 at 1.3 exchange = US$50,310,000
US$50,310,000 amortized at 10% interest over 8 year mine life equates to annual capital recovery of US$9,160,944/year.

At an average mining rate of 2,600,000 tonnes/8 years= 325,000 tonnes per year the capital recovery equates to US$9,160,944/year / 325,000 tonnes/ year = US$28.18/tonne

So cost/tonne= US$51.61/tonne + US$28.18/tonne= US$79.79/tonne

Kimberlite value = US$92/carat x 1.2 carat/tonne= US$110.40/tonne

Earnings calculation:

US$110.40 - US$79.79/tonne= US$30.61/tonne earnings
US$30.61/tonne x 325,000 tonne/year= US$9,948,250/year earnings
US$9,948,250/year x 1.30= Cdn$12,932,725/year
Cdn$12,932,725/year / 547,600,000 shares= Cdn$0.024/share
Trading at 10 times earnings share price= Cdn$0.24/share

TAH currently trading at Cdn$0.56/share

stockhouse.com



To: Letmebe Frank who wrote (1818)2/10/2004 12:11:19 PM
From: jrhana  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 16203
 
The listing for SUF is I believe somewhat deceptive because I believe most of the market cap is related to their SA platinum deposits.

I know russwinter loves it for the platinum and could not care less about the diamonds.

I believe EET and SGF also have significant non-diamond plays as well as a few others.

I guess there is no real good way to dissect out the diamond valuations.



To: Letmebe Frank who wrote (1818)2/12/2004 7:32:05 PM
From: Letmebe Frank  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 16203
 
Ive added Navigator and Strongbow, as I read WIll's wire, and found them worthy of "the CDN Diamond Stock list", as I've decided to call it. MTX, with that huge budget, could eventually put out a stock-poping NR. It's a buy under 2.00. GEM is unfairly getting beat up. With DeBeers involved, I hope it doesn't slow progress. THere are some great picks for 2004 winners in that list!
. 02-12 YTD MktCap.(mil) 2004 Budget
. Close Change 02/12/2004
Aber Diamond ABZ 45.85 -2.5% 2,564 9,000,000
SouthernEra SUF 5.27 -1.7% 384 5,000,000
Tahera TAH 0.435 52.6% 191
Mountain Province MPV 2.57 0.8% 172
Etruscan EET 2.47 14.4% 136
Stornoway SWY 2.83 53.0% 156 8,000,000
Ashton ACA 2 35.1% 136 9,000,000
Shore SGF 1.74 -8.4% 75
Metalex MTX 2.22 -5.5% 49 12,000,000
Kensington KRT 1.14 21.3% 59
Diamondex DSP 1.14 40.7% 53 5,000,000
Shear SRM 0.98 55.6% 40 6,000,000
Twin TWG 0.32 -20.0% 29
GGL GGL 0.415 -11.7% 27
Diamonds North DDN 1.39 27.5% 31 5,000,000
Pele Mountain GEM 0.395 -10.2% 16
China Diamond CDC 0.32 28.0% 15
Band-Ore BAN 0.48 -7.7% 15
Arctic Star ADD 0.67 -1.5% 15
Majescor MAJ 0.27 -6.9% 8
Dunsmuir DVV 0.42 42.4% 8
Int'l Samuel SAZ 0.27 54.3% 6
Dios DOS 0.41 -5.7% 4
Caldera CDR 0.16 -11.1% 10
Sudbury Contact SUD 1.6 -15.8% 44
Navigator NVR 0.41 0.0% 15
Strongbow SR 0.49 -21.0% 28
DeBeers ?? 30,000,000