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To: fastmetals who wrote (7625)2/11/2004 9:11:47 PM
From: isopatch  Respond to of 108767
 
FM. Jim and I were talking about the longer term dollar

trend.

In any LT primary down trend, there are always counter trend rallies. And sure, one would be likely if a double bottom formation is confirmed. But we can't call it a confirmed double bottom until price breaks out to the upside out of that pattern instead of failing to the downside which is also quite possible at this point. And, of course, we know it has done that from a number of patterns quite similar to the one U just posted.

FWIW, I don't have a strong opinion one way or the other about dollar direction in the ST. Maybe someone else here does.

Anyone want to respond to fastmetals with a decided ST opinion on the buck?

TIA

Isopatch



To: fastmetals who wrote (7625)2/12/2004 12:05:43 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108767
 
I was checking the big chart for USDollar, same conclusion
but really, you are focusing on the wrong currency (hint: JYen)

we got one more bounce on the dollar here
or should I say, one more selloff in the useless Euro ???
nice big double bottom
here is a better USDollar chart that I viewed

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[dc][pb50!d20,2!f][vc60][iUb14!Uh15,5,5]&pref=G

daily stochastix indicate oversold, but that could hold for a month
RSI indicates not quite oversold, still way above 30

I think US$ flirts with the precipice here
but the markets blink, as ECB and BOJ jack it up
this is but a trial run for springtime jerkdown to a lower ledge on the precipice

below DXY=85, it gets dangerous
but I gotta say, FastMan, this DXY is pure horseshit indicator

here is the one which matters, the JYen
the trade gap lies with Asian exporters
the federal debt lies within Asian reserves
Europe and the EU is a jerkoff partner in a circlejerk

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[df][pb50!d20,2!f][vc60][iUb14!Uh15,5,5]&pref=G

as the JYen gets to parity, the FOREX dances turns on acid rock !!!

that unleashes Asian import price hikes inside US Land of Consumerism
and threatens the BOJ stupidity plan to support worthless US paper

/ jim