SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (8104)2/14/2004 11:53:15 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 110194
 
Contrary to many "forcaster" predicting the huge US boom I think that having a well balanced portfolio of FX, international stocks indexes and bonds you may be safer than just holding cash.

I would lighten up on US stocks and build some cash and diversify in South America Russia stock indices with low P/E. Would even venture to India before the world will discover this part of the world



To: mishedlo who wrote (8104)2/14/2004 12:31:24 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
I like to read Mauldin, but here's another example of old playbook thinking. They are navigating icebergs while the radar indicates a hurricane is bearing down on them. These guys have little or no comprehension of the enormous global resource shortages, input goods cost pressure, and crack-up boom speculation that is erupting as a result of US generated credit excess demand/maladjustments. I doubt if they have EVER even looked at an LME inventory report, or ocean freight index. Personally I doubt if they've even looked at a three month price change in steel, lumber, copper, and industrial chemicals, let alone soybeans.



To: mishedlo who wrote (8104)2/14/2004 12:58:09 PM
From: NOW  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
"I discount the possibility of deflation or high inflation, as the Fed can influence both and will."
This is the real mistake in his logic and most other commentators