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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: gamesmistress who wrote (30297)	2/18/2004 10:59:42 AM
From: redfish	Respond to of 793964

"What's the odds that Cuba will lurch into anarchy after Fidel dies and the US will feel compelled to (or compelled by the exile lobby) to step in?" I think it is extremely high. Without a charasmatic leader (Fidel's brother isn't well liked), the military will be in control. Cuba has known democracy for only very brief periods in its history. Without the U.S. playing a role, it will be just another turbulent banana republic. With the U.S. playing a role, it could become a shining jewel.