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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (30342)	2/18/2004 4:22:43 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793757

THE NOTE - NEWS SUMMARY Keep your 527 eyes peeled today, boyos. And (over)interpet those KY 06 results if you wanna. But in the meantime, look at the latest raw vote from Wisconsin with 3,527 of 3,528 precincts reporting — about 99 percent. John Kerry, 327,669 — 40 percent John Edwards, 283,326 — 34 percent Howard Dean, 150,682 — 18 percent Dennis Kucinich, 27,231 — 3 percent Al Sharpton, 14,685 — 2 percent Wesley Clark, 12,687 — 2 percent So Kerry won #15 by, like, tens of thousands of votes. Six percentage points — that's a big margin. Totally, totally worth Noting: Kerry won. The battle to frame the results, however, was won by Edwards. To wit: Katie Couric's first words on Today: "It's a two-man race." One thing is clear: the Democratic Party and media gatekeepers are going to give John Edwards at least a CHANCE to beat John Kerry on Super Tuesday, and (forgive us the cliche) two weeks is an eternity in politics. Despite last night's expectations victory, Edwards still can't take the nomination away on the current trajectory. His chance depends on the answers to these (and other) questions: What will Howard Dean say at 1pm today? With or without a Dean endorsement, can Edwards raise meaningful money on the web or traditionally in the next 10 days? How much paid media will there be by Kerry and Edwards? Will Kerry be tempted to try to win this without spending money? How, if at all (!), will Kerry try to co-opt Edwards' trade message? How many debates will there be? Will there be any one-on-one debates? How much negative information about Edwards will find its way (magically) into the media bloodstream? Will the RNCBC04 operation start hitting Edwards (too) (again)? Will a day go by without John Edwards, Elizabeth Edwards, or both doing a morning show? Will Senator Kerry have lots of press availabilities? What standard will the press use to judge Edwards' success on Super Tuesday?

To: LindyBill who wrote (30342)	2/18/2004 5:19:31 PM
From: Lane3	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793757

In any case, you never commented on my answer. We take turns. That's how these things work. I don't comment on your reply until you comment on my reply. If you go off on a tangent rather than responding to my reply, then the tangent just has to wait its turn, unless, of course, I find it more interesting than my point, which was not the case here. You might be able to lead others off down the garden path but not me. <g> Colloquies with you remind me of the current state of political interviews or debates. A question is posed, then the politician waves indifferently at the question and proceeds to use his time to talk about whatever subject he damned well pleases. I'm tenacious, but I have my limits...