To: ChinuSFO who wrote (291 ) 2/21/2004 10:13:18 AM From: PartyTime Respond to of 1381 >>> behind an Edwards nomination, very much the South. Wrong. Al Gore from Tennessee did not win the Southeren states who analysts said he would win, even his home state of Tennessee.<<< There's a big difference this time around. Lots of folks today now wish they'd have voted for Gore then. Other factors include Ralph Nader helping to cause Gore to lose several states; and the NRA was then on a strong march against Gore. I think the strength of this group will be somewhat muted in this election as many NRAers are today victimized by the Iraq War, and we're seeing many reservists and guardsmen returning into their home communities with nothing but horror to tell. With respect to Nader, the Nader effect with Kerry at the top will be stronger, as Kerry will be perceived as a systemist. He'll be linked to the Democratic machine's demise of Dean. And what the DEM machine did to Dean will be one reason, I predict, that Nader will use to justify his entrance into the race. And so Edwards? Nader can't make insider claims against Edwards. And the fact that Edwards, as a trial lawyer, fought for much of what Nader believes will take some of the wind out of Nader's sails. If there's any kind of spin that should be out there in the diners on Main Street USA, it's that Nader will have a greater effect on Kerry than he will on Dean. And with Nader in the race, those southern states become much more important--hence, we should give the nod to Edwards. I also have a feeling that the folksy, populist--near evanglical--style of Edwards just might be sufficient enough to enable him to tap into a small portion of Bush's Christian base. Kerry won't do this at all. Like The Thing, an esteemed member of Marvel Comics Fantastic Four, says: "It's clobberin' time!" Yes, indeed, in this next presidential election it's time to clobber the GOPwingers who'll deserve to lose every single vote they will.