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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Neocon who wrote (124984)	2/24/2004 12:27:30 PM
From: E	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

You didn't even drizzle. I was referring to the Pentagon Report, not Kyoto. You seem to make a connection, though, and to want very much to suggest it's an illegitimate one to make. The worst case scenarios are not predicted for a couple of decades, and are more often pushed later down the time line. Sometimes a couple of decades. Sometimes, the point is not to wait a couple of decades: Growing evidence suggests the ocean-atmosphere system that controls the world's climate can lurch from one state to another in less than a decade—like a canoe that's gradually tilted until suddenly it flips over. Scientists don't know how close the system is to a critical threshold. But abrupt climate change may well occur in the not-too-distant future.... That's why it's now considered a national security issue.

To: Neocon who wrote (124984)	2/24/2004 12:55:59 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

The worst case scenarios are not predicted for a couple of decades, and are more often pushed later down the time line. That is all I meant. I also believe that nothing in these reports have been declared "inevitable", but rather something of concern that merits proper contingency planning, should it come to pass.. Global warming may, or may not, be an issue (especially given the weather we've had this winter), but natural disaster planning, short term and long term, are appropriate areas which should be "gamed" so that we react properly. Hawk