SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Bush-The Mastermind behind 9/11? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GUSTAVE JAEGER who wrote (5447)2/26/2004 8:42:07 PM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20039
 
Gus,

There is an error in the material you just presented.

What the author stated: By the year 2020 Africa should provide 17% or more of crude oil imports to the US, or about 770 million barrels or more a day.

That's bunk.

Here's the facts. The world currently consumer about 78 MMbbl of crude oil (not BOE) per day. Of this, the United States consumes ~20 MMbbl, or 25% of the world's consumption.

Of the 20 MMbpd, 57% is currently imported. Allowing the figure of 20 MMbpd to remain constant (a very conservative approach) and using the author's 17% figure, we come to the following answer:

20 MMbpd x .57 x .17 = 1.93 MMbpd, not, as he states .77 MMbpd.

If we can't trust the guys arithmetic, should we trust any of his other "facts"?