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To: Larry S. who wrote (3127)3/1/2004 12:18:24 PM
From: Winkman777  Respond to of 3358
 
Sempra Sees Need for Market Reform
Utility arm's president urges clarification of electricity market issues and assurance that plant costs can be recouped.

By Elizabeth Douglass, Times Staff Writer

When Debra L. Reed took over as president of San Diego Gas & Electric Co. in July 2000, she landed in the hottest of hot seats. Electricity prices had jolted to record heights and SDG&E customers were tearing open the biggest energy bills they had ever seen.

Standing before an audience of energy executives and officials in Houston recently, Reed confessed: "I had nightmares last night recounting this experience in my career."

Even so, for whatever educational value it might provide others, Reed relived California's wrenching energy crisis and described its ugly effects on customers and the utilities she manages under the Sempra Energy umbrella: Southern California Gas Co. and SDG&E.

Looking back, one big lesson about energy demand stood out, she told her colleagues. No matter how often customers were urged to conserve energy, they didn't act aggressively until they felt the pain of bigger bills.

SDG&E customers curtailed electricity use by up to 9% in 2000, and then cut back more the following year with the help of incentive plans, Reed said, and Southern California Gas saw similar results as the price of natural gas soared.

Today, customers are becoming acclimated to relatively stable electricity prices that are more than 50% above pre-crisis levels, Reed said. And people have gone back to their old ways, fueling a usage rebound that could bring demand at SDG&E this year back to peak levels of the late 1990s.

Before her turn at SDG&E, Reed had spent her career climbing the corporate ladder at Southern California Gas. After steering the San Diego utility through the statewide energy debacle, marked by rolling blackouts, rate increases and customer revolt, Reed in early 2002 became president and chief financial officer of Sempra Energy Utilities, whose subsidiaries serve 7.5 million customers.

After her presentation in Houston, Reed talked with The Times about energy issues.

Question: What changes are needed in California's energy market today?

Answer: On the gas side … we would like to see access to new supply sources. And secondly, some way to ensure customers that their gas is going to get from point A to point B. It's mainly regulatory, but there are some infrastructure issues that would have to occur.

On the electric side, we need clear rules for what is the utility's role, who are their customers, what are the rules regarding customers coming or leaving, what should the utilities be expected to do in terms of providing generation resources, and what assurances do you have that once you make those investments [in power plants], you'll have a chance at recovering the costs? There's also this whole issue of transmission and transmission-siting. There's a huge need to address the expediency of getting transmission infrastructure built in this state.

Q: So we need more of those huge transmission towers?

A: I'll give you an example of why it's necessary. During the [San Diego] fires, the major line, the Southwest Power Link that connects us with Arizona, that line tripped off. We were very, very close to having another major transmission line that comes in from the coast also be affected by the fires. Had that occurred, we would have lost [power for] a great percentage of San Diego.

We've either got to do a better job of planning and moving forward with the plans, or accept the fact that blackouts are going to be common. And that's not reasonable. You cannot have an economy with periodic blackouts; that just doesn't work.

Q: What's your view on the role utilities should play?

A: We went through a time frame where the goals of the state were to have the utilities get out of everything except for transporting energy. The view was to get us out of buying for customers, to get us out of having any kinds of conservation programs for customers, demand-side management for customers — all of that was supposed to be open to the market. That's not what customers truly want in the long run, and the energy crisis was a real awakening on that.

Our view of our role going forward is to really be a full-service provider for our customers and to be there for the customers, particularly the residential customers.

Q: Should we go back to having a regulated industry?

A: Certainly for residential customers, in the near term, that seems to make the most sense. For commercial industrial customers, on the gas side, we don't buy for them now. For the small-business consumers, those customers were kind of literally left in the dark with some of this … their expectation is that the utility will provide them with reliable energy and try to provide some price protection in terms of spikes and volatility. We're willing to do that role, but if we're going to be responsible, then we have to have the ability to control some of the pieces that go into doing that.

Q: You have two U.S. projects in the works, including one in Baja California, to import liquefied natural gas. How important is LNG?

A: We think it will be very positive for California. We want to have access to very diverse supplies of natural gas for the future because we think that will benefit our customers. We get most of our California gas through two interstate pipelines. Those pipelines bring gas in from predominantly two gas basins … and the gas wells in those areas are showing signs that the production is decreasing year by year.

Q: Can't natural gas prices be manipulated? Didn't we learn that from recent scandals?

A: I think that without proper market rules, and without proper market monitoring, there's always a danger. But if you look at what's happened recently on the gas side, any time there is an increase in gas prices, there is an immediate investigation as to what caused the price spike and whether or not it was caused by supply-demand, a regular economic force, or if there was any manipulation. I think having had some of the lessons on the electric side, the diligence now by the regulators is much greater. So I think it's a lot less likely.



To: Larry S. who wrote (3127)3/1/2004 12:20:27 PM
From: Winkman777  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3358
 
Rampant Returns Not Enough:A Return To Pickiness In Junk

By SIMONA COVEL

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES .
NEW YORK -- Selectivity has returned to the high-yield market.

After months of torrential buying sprees, when fund managers were so desperate to empty their bulging coffers of cash that they seemed to buy any credit they could get their hands on, investors have begun to select only the bonds that they believe are fundamentally sound.

The shift, though swift, wasn't unexpected. As the market peaked in January 2004, many investors began to protest the historically low yields being provided by the most speculative credits. Since then, as the calendar of new issues has grown, many investors have stepped back from the frenzy and re-evaluated their positions. In the week ended Feb. 26, the most liquid portion of the high-yield market declined 0.40%, according to the Banc of America Securities High-Yield Large Cap Index.

"There are a few names I got out of in the last couple weeks that had nice big coupons, but I wasn't sold on the business plans," said Sean Slein, a portfolio manager at Dwight Asset Management, which has $1.75 billion in high-yield assets under management. "I invested in them because the market was firm and sensing weakness, I got out."

Though those credits are only "off a tad" now, he added, they will only suffer further if the market remains listless.

Though conditions are still in place for longer-term market strength - including low interest rates and a solid economic outlook - high-yield may mirror the sideways movement predicted for the stock market until the economy provides some impetus for direction.

"An improvement or any clearer direction in equities would prompt high-yield to move out of its range," said Chris Garman, head of high-yield strategy at Merrill Lynch. Until then, he added, the market is probably stuck.

Taking It Issue by Issue
Last week's market activity showed the increased scrutiny in the high-yield market. In the secondary market, traders noted the unusually light flows as participants abstained from shifting positions without a nudge from other investors.

"Nobody knows how to go about trading their books," said a veteran trader. "They're all rushing to exit at the same time and coming back in at the same time."

In the primary market, too, investors have turned increasingly selective. Calpine Corp. (CPN) canceled its $2.35 billion bond offering and term loan because investors weren't willing to accept the deal at its offered terms. Investors were unsatisified with the security of the bonds and were concerned about the company's ability to sell its assets and use the proceeds.

But just a couple of days later, beleagured tiremaker Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT) was able to sell a very limited $650 million private placement offering, despite an ongoing Securities and Exchange Commission investigation into the company's accounting practices and myriad operational hurdles. Investors eagerly snapped up the single-B-rated debt, partly because of the 11% coupon offered on the fixed rate tranche and a coupon of 800 basis points over the London interbank offered rate for the floating rate tranche.

"At 11%," said one investor who asked not to be named, "you get compensated" for the company's woes.

Still, Calpine's expected yield around 11.25% on the fixed-rate tranche of its single-B-minus rated bond offering wasn't enough to entice those potential investors, further demonstrating that investors are shopping for certain fundamental criteria, not just fat yields.

"This year's going to be more of a credit-picker's market," said Tom Haag, a portfolio manager at Seneca Capital Management, which has $1.7 billion in high-yield assets under management. "Credit selection is going to have increased importance