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To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (17955)2/28/2004 5:25:04 PM
From: Wyätt GwyönRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
those rates would be much higher if it were not for Japan, and to a smaller degree China purchasing our long-term debt

i do not think they are touching our long term debt--there is not enough of it to achieve the currency interventions they are implementing. total Treasury debt maturing in 20yrs or later amounts to less than $200 billion, and this number continues to decline. this is because the Treasury is issuing short-term securities that carry much lower coupons--the government version of an ARM. their thinking is to issue 1yr paper at 1% or 2yr paper at less than 2%, rather than 30yr paper at 5%. the vast majority of US Government debt matures in less than five years, and this is where Asian CB buying is concentrated.

incidentally, the lack of Asian CB buying at the long end of the curve is why US long rates are comparable to or even higher than the long rates of other industrialized countries. there is no subsidy at the long end.

long term US Treasury debt is about equal to the market cap of Intel.



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (17955)2/28/2004 11:18:17 PM
From: MulhollandDriveRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
netcastdaily.com

jim puplava interviews john rubino



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (17955)2/29/2004 10:35:55 PM
From: Amy JRespond to of 306849
 
Elroy, "oppose the passage of California Props 57 and 58. Rolling the California debt into $15 Billion of bond issues removes the incentive to repeal Prop 13, which I see as inevitable. I think it's better to have our day-of-reckoning now rather than later. "

Now I'm actually beginning to get convinced to vote no on prop 57 and 58. Both Rep and Dem need to learn how to raise taxes and cut any wasteful spending.

(Probably will vote yes on 55 though to give universities $2B and then to fix broken toilets and leaky roofs for gradeschools which could cost more to fix over time if left untreated. Though there are valid arguments against it.)

Regards,
Amy J