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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: EL KABONG!!! who wrote (47117)	3/7/2004 3:39:25 PM
From: smolejv@gmx.net	Respond to of 74559

What about the following line of thought... If the demographics were causing the drop in the demand, it would produce a dip on the supply side as well, iow were it not eventually a neutral factor (disregarding second-order effects)?... GDP dropping, but per capita staying constant. Plus, from the end of influenza period to 1928 or 29, it's just 10, and not 15 years... OK let's make it 1933 then, but, dang, that's the end and not the start of of recession... I agree to all this, if seen in a fuzzy fashion - a multivariant world, with several factors - a number of them actually - fighting to explain the variance.