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To: Knighty Tin who wrote (280046)3/14/2004 8:36:23 AM
From: Pogeu Mahone  Respond to of 436258
 
March 14, 2004
Democrats Demand Inquiry Into Charge by Medicare Officer
By ROBERT PEAR

ASHINGTON, March 13 — Democrats called Saturday for an investigation of charges that the Bush administration threatened to fire a top Medicare official if he gave data to Congress showing the high costs of hotly contested Medicare legislation.

The official, Richard S. Foster, chief actuary of the Medicare program, said he had been formally told not to provide the information to Congress. Moreover, he said, he was told that "the consequences of insubordination would be very severe."

Senior officials at the Medicare agency made it clear that "they would try and fire me" for responding directly to inquiries from Congress, Mr. Foster said in an interview on Saturday.

Mr. Foster said he had received that message from Thomas A. Scully, who was then administrator of the Medicare program. Mr. Scully denies threatening Mr. Foster but confirms having told him to withhold certain information from Congress.

A White House spokesman, Trent D. Duffy, declined to comment on Mr. Foster's statements. Mr. Duffy said he did not know if anyone had threatened to dismiss Mr. Foster.

The Senate and the House approved different Medicare bills on June 27, after being assured that the cost would not exceed $400 billion over 10 years, the amount proposed by President Bush.

Just two weeks earlier, Mr. Foster estimated that the drug benefits in a bill very similar to the Senate measure would cost $551.5 billion.

Mr. Foster said he prepared "dozens and dozens of analyses and estimates" of the cost of the legislation last year. "All our estimates showed that the cost of the drug benefit, through 2013, would be in the range of $500 billion to $600 billion," he said.

The cost estimates were all provided to Mr. Scully, and some were also sent to the White House, the Office of Management and Budget and top officials at the Department of Health and Human Services, Mr. Foster said. For example, he said, "some cost estimates were sent directly to Doug Badger," the White House official who coordinates health policy for the administration.

Mr. Duffy confirmed that the White House had received the actuary's cost estimates for parts of the bill. But he said the administration had relied on the Congressional Budget Office as "the primary authority" on the overall cost.

"For many years," Mr. Foster said, "my office has provided technical assistance to the administration and Congress on a nonpartisan basis.

"But in June 2003, the Medicare administrator, Tom Scully, decided to restrict the practice of our responding directly to Congressional requests and ordered us to provide responses to him so he could decide what to do with them. There was a pattern of withholding information for what I perceived to be political purposes, which I thought was inappropriate."

Mr. Foster, 55, was an actuary at the Social Security Administration from 1973 to 1995, when he became chief Medicare actuary.

Congressional Democrats asked the inspector general at the Department of Health and Human Services to investigate what they described as possible intimidation of Mr. Foster.

In a letter to the inspector general, they said: "Throughout the debate on the Medicare bill, the legislation's cost was a central issue for lawmakers on both sides of the aisle. The withholding of cost information may have impeded lawmakers' ability to engage in fair debate on the bill."

The request was made by Representatives Pete Stark of California, Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Rosa DeLauro of Connecticut and Rahm Emanuel of Illinois, all Democrats, and Bernard Sanders of Vermont, an independent. Mr. Stark and Mr. Brown are the senior Democrats on powerful subcommittees responsible for health legislation.

"The administration seems to have a habit of suppressing information to serve its political purposes," Mr. Stark said. "Tom Scully told my staff that Rick Foster would be `fired so fast his head would spin' if he released this information to us."

In most cases, Mr. Foster said, the effect of the restrictions imposed on his office was to withhold information sought by Democrats. But in one case, he said, Mr. Scully told him not to provide information requested by Representative Bill Thomas, Republican of California, the chairman of the Ways and Means Committee and a principal author of the Medicare bill.

In an e-mail message to colleagues on June 26, Mr. Foster said: "This whole episode, which has now gone on for three weeks, has been pretty nightmarish. I'm perhaps no longer in grave danger of being fired, but there remains a strong likelihood that I will have to resign in protest of the withholding of important technical information from key policy makers for political reasons."

Mr. Foster still has his job. But Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Democrat of New York, said, "It is outrageous that the Bush administration would withhold vital information on an issue as important as the Medicare prescription drug benefit."

The Senate Democratic leader, Tom Daschle of South Dakota, said: "An investigation of some kind is clearly warranted. Whether this is criminal or not is a matter that we will certainly want to clarify. If not criminal, it is certainly unethical."

Senator Charles E. Grassley, the Iowa Republican who is chairman of the Finance Committee, also expressed concern.

"No one should have withheld the actuary's estimate," Mr. Grassley said. "Every cost estimate is relevant to every debate, this one included, and government analysts with relevant information should never be muzzled."

But Mr. Grassley said the Democrats were being disingenuous.

"They embrace an administration estimate to suit the partisan cause of undermining the Medicare bill," he said. He said many Democrats had favored an alternative bill that "by anybody's estimate would have cost hundreds of billions of dollars more than what we enacted."

Senator Max Baucus, Democrat of Montana, worked closely with Republicans to write the Medicare law and strongly supports it. But he said he too had "grave concerns" about the withholding of data.

"It was unacceptable that Congress was denied access to this valuable information during the Medicare negotiations," Mr. Baucus said.

Robert E. Moffit, director of the Center for Health Policy Studies at the conservative Heritage Foundation, said: "There's no excuse for what the administration did. The people who were hurt the most were Congressional Republicans who put their faith in estimates that turned out to be wrong."

Mr. Moffit said the higher cost estimates could have affected the outcome of the debate or the contents of the legislation. "A number of House Republicans voted for the bill under duress," he said. "They did not want to impose huge unfunded liabilities on the American taxpayer."

The Medicare bill finally squeaked through the House on Nov. 22. The roll call lasted nearly three hours as Republicans tried to persuade opponents of the bill to switch their votes. The House ethics committee is looking into accusations of attempted bribery surrounding the vote of one lawmaker, Nick Smith, Republican of Michigan.

Mr. Bush promised drug benefits to the elderly in his 2000 campaign and continually pushed Congress to pass the Medicare bill, which relies heavily on private insurance companies to deliver such benefits.

In November 2003, before final votes on the bill, administration officials repeatedly said, without qualification, that the legislation would cost no more than $400 billion over 10 years. In making those statements, administration officials relied on estimates by the Congressional Budget Office, without citing much higher cost estimates by the Medicare actuary.

Mr. Bush signed the measure on Dec. 8. Then, on Jan. 29, the White House announced that the new law would cost $534 billion, or one-third more than the price tag used when Congress passed the legislation.

The administration assumed that more people would sign up for drug benefits, get low-income subsidies and enroll in private health plans.

At a press briefing on Jan. 30, the White House press secretary, Scott McClellan, said Mr. Bush had been informed of the final higher cost estimate "just in the last two weeks."

But administration officials said they had known for months that, according to their own actuaries, the costs could far exceed $400 billion.

Copyright 2004 The New York Times Company | Home | Privacy Policy | Search | Corrections | Help | Back to Top



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (280046)3/14/2004 8:36:49 AM
From: Pogeu Mahone  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
March 14, 2004
China's Economic Engine Needs Power (Lots of It)
By JIM YARDLEY

EIJING — For all the hoopla about China's booming economy, its manufacturing muscle and its potential to become a great power, the world's most populous country is struggling to keep the lights on. And the sporadic blackouts that plagued much of China last year are raising complicated questions for the Communist Party and for the rest of the world:

How and where will China get the energy it needs to maintain its economic growth? And how much will the environment suffer for it?

"It's one of the hottest issues facing the international energy industry," said Scott Roberts, chief representative in the Beijing office of Cambridge Energy Research Associates, a consulting firm based in Massachusetts. "The growth has been explosive, and I think it has caught many people in China and elsewhere off guard."

China's emergence has already roiled commodities markets, as the country has become a voracious consumer of energy and raw materials. Last year, its oil imports rose by nearly a third. It also built so many new cars, factories, airports and high-rises that it passed the United States to become the world's biggest steel importer, according to the Iron and Steel Statistics Bureau, a British-based information clearinghouse for the steel industry. Last year, China accounted for almost a third of the world's consumption of finished steel.

Electricity consumption jumped by 15 percent. Domestic coal production rose by 100 million tons - and still there were shortages.

Yet China's appetite today is modest compared with what is estimated for the future; the country's energy needs are expected to more than double by 2020. This prospect has the Communist Party reportedly rolling out plans for at least 100 new power plants, including nuclear, hydropower and coal-fired ones. It has also raised concerns that efforts to improve China's polluted environment will be muted by the demand for power.

China is trying just about every possible avenue to satisfy its power demands, and none offers a completely risk-free or "clean" solution. Plans call for at least 20 nuclear plants to be built by 2020. Hydropower projects, regarded by many Chinese officials as a clean power source, are threatening to disrupt the ecological balance on many important rivers that flow out of the high Tibetan plateau.

China's primary energy source, and its dirtiest, is coal, which accounts for almost 70 percent of the power supply. Coal is a primary source of greenhouse gases, and experts predict that by 2020 China could pass the United States to become the world's biggest source of carbon monoxide. That this is happening is perhaps not surprising, because America is an economic, if not political, model for China.

"The fundamental problem is that China is following the path of the United States, and probably the world cannot afford a second United States," said Zhang Jianyu, program manager for the Beijing office of Environmental Defense, an American-based advocacy group.

In an address earlier this month before the annual meeting of the National People's Congress, Prime Minister Wen Jiabao captured the competing pressures of the economy when he cited environmental protection and called for building a "conservation-minded society." Yet he also exhorted the country to develop more energy sources.

"We must speed up the development of large coal mines, important power generating facilities and power grids, the exploration and exploitation of petroleum and other important resources," he said.

Michelle Billig, a former energy attaché in the United States Embassy in Beijing, said China's leaders are improving energy efficiency and becoming more environmentally friendly. She noted that China is completing the creation of fuel-efficiency standards that are better than those in the United States. The government is also experimenting with buses and taxis that run on natural gas and expanding its use of ''clean'' coal technology.

"In some ways, they are addressing these issues a lot more seriously than we are in the United States," said Ms. Billig, now an international affairs fellow with the Council on Foreign Relations.

But experts agree that such efforts, as yet, are making only a tiny difference and that too often environmental restraints are brushed aside to meet the demand for power. Mr. Zhang said China's environmental degradation is already being measured in economic losses. He said state officials estimate that acid rain causes about $13 billion, while air pollution reduces the annual gross domestic product by about 3 percent.

China is also often inefficient in its energy use. Mr. Roberts, the Cambridge Energy consultant, said that the worst Chinese industries waste 70 percent more energy than their counterparts in the United States. He also noted that China's electricity consumption grew by 15 percent last year and 10.4 percent in 2002 - a spike in demand he said was equal to total power consumption in Brazil. "They are adding a middle-sized country every two years in terms of energy consumption," he said.

This helps explain why energy security is an increasingly important issue for Chinese leaders, particularly regarding oil. China began importing oil in the early 1990's, partly because its own supplies were leveling out, but also because of rising demand. Now the American invasion of Iraq has shown Chinese leaders, dependent on Middle East oil, how vulnerable they could become.

A December 2003 analysis of China's energy situation by Deutsche Bank noted that in response to the Iraq war, China has begun building a group of storage facilities to create a strategic oil reserve. The report also noted that the country is aggressively pursuing oil deals around the world, from neighboring Kazakhstan and Russia to other oil fields in South America and even Canada. Earlier this year, President Hu Jintao made visits to African countries with significant oil fields.

For now, power officials are warning citizens that another spate of blackouts is likely. Last year, nearly two-thirds of the provinces and autonomous regions experienced varying degrees of blackouts. This year, officials say, could be as bad, or maybe worse.

Copyright 2004 The New York Times Company | Home | Privacy Policy | Search | Corrections | Help | Back to Top