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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (2006)3/14/2004 5:47:48 PM
From: CalculatedRisk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Advance copy of FOMC release (from a secret source!):

"Release Date: March 16, 2004
For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 1 percent.

The Committee continues to believe that an accommodative stance of monetary policy, coupled with robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing important ongoing support to economic activity. The evidence accumulated over the intermeeting period confirms that output is expanding briskly. Although new hiring remains subdued, other indicators suggest an improvement in the labor market. Increases in core consumer prices are muted and expected to remain low.

The Committee perceives that the upside and downside risks to the attainment of sustainable growth for the next few quarters are roughly equal. The probability of an unwelcome fall in inflation has diminished in recent months and now appears almost equal to that of a rise in inflation. With inflation quite low and resource use slack, the Committee believes that it can be patient in removing its policy accommodation."

My source?

The Jan 28th release ... I think it will be exactly word for word!



To: mishedlo who wrote (2006)3/14/2004 6:38:14 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
I predict that we will see quarter point raises
at each meeting for the rest of the year. There
could be something in the statement about the
lag time and fighting inflation later in the year.
That will give the fed a nice gentle reload and
take the edge off what would otherwise be a really
hot real estate market going into the summer.