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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: tonto who wrote (8059)	3/17/2004 7:59:37 PM
From: The Philosopher	Respond to of 81568

And therein hangs the the importance of the next eight months. The thing is, everybody who hates Bush already knows that they hate him. They've had four years to learn go hate him. It's unlikely that Kerry can convert many people who are Bush lovers into Bush haters. His hate group is unlikely to grow substantially. OTOH, his love group is unlikely to grow substantially, either. Kerry is still new. So there are lots of people who don't know him. they don't either love, like, dislike, or hate him. Right now they're roughly equal in the polls, dependingon which poll you like. So as Kerry gets better known, he has to convert at least half the neutral people into positives (love or like). If more than half turn into negatives (dislike or hate), he's toast. His problem is that he really doesn't have the personality, nor has he come up with the vision, to make people love him. A few here do, but not many. Most, as you say, are mediocre on him but think he's less bad than Bush. So he's going to have to work hard to make people love him. Meanwhile, of course, Bush will be trying hard to get people to have him (Kerry). And generally, it's easier to inspire hate than love. So you're right, unless he can come out with a better strategy, with vision and a positive message that appeals to the neutral voter, they're gradually going to split more negative than positive. Which will leave him in trouble. And as we've seen with Dean, a huge upswing of apparent love can disappear almost overnight. I hope he CAN come up with some positive ideas, proposals, vision to make a good reason to switch our horses. But when you're riding a bad horse, but the only option is to jump over to an equally bad horse in midstream, where's the incentive to do so?