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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (39744)3/17/2004 8:42:50 PM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 89467
 
Because they want to prop up their exports...



To: stockman_scott who wrote (39744)3/18/2004 6:13:56 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 89467
 
Scott, if JYen rises to parity, then exporters will get their nuts cut off
they will see much of their entire profit margins eradicated just from exchange rate movement

it is pure mercantilism by Bank of Japan
it never works
nowadays, with Japan's trade surplus with China, and Chinese yuan pegged to the USDollar, Japan has even more market pressure to see the basic flow of funds push the JYen much much higher

the JYen has moved from 89 to 94 now
I said two weeks ago "look for a bounce off 89-91"
got it

I expect the JYen to move to 100 parity by late autumn
that will essentially kill off the Japanese recovery
and send them into their umpteenth round of deflation

/ jim