To: mishedlo who wrote (10741 ) 3/23/2004 2:44:42 PM From: Jim Willie CB Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194 I hope you settle down, sounding as nasty as with RussW we merely disagree try to take a chill pill your responses do not foster calm discussion first, in summer 2002 Chinese leaders announced an intention to balance their reserves toward EuroBonds, USTBonds, and Gold this statement was made even though a Yuan-$ peg existed since the biggest incremental piece to their trade surplus is USTB, then I suspect if they make good on their word, they will F'ing rebalance a little make sense? I am unaware whether you know about that statement I take them at their word besides, much metals exchange data points to huge support at critical price points for physical Gold also, with a large surplus with USA, and a sizeable deficit with Japan, China's resolution of the books has pressure on the JYen to rise vs US$ I realize plenty of Japanese industrial investment though inside China so not all that imbalance hits the FOREX dance halls I have said exactly once, TODAY, that commodity prices might lead China to repeg, which would render their massive imports cheaper where the F did this come from?"you seem stuck in a view that says commodity prices are going to "force" them to act" copper is critical to their housing, electronics, and cars they are paying 50% more than last late autumn if they dont pass along higher production costs, they will be hit by profit margin squeeze so pressure is clear to adjust somehow and repeg is one option you seem to focus on simple but correct answers, and show utter disdain for components that might work against your point that is not constructive, even if your view prevails in the short and near term you are getting increasingly difficult to discuss with but I respect your views you disagree with me at times you disagree consistently with Russ the deflationary world force is more powerful than we know the Chinese stubbornness is deeper than most gauge on this score we agree loudly I have on numerous occasions cited the exact same point China will continue until internal demand is sufficient to carry on without too much concern for foreign interests do you remember perhaps 8-10 times I have said that as for China sincerity, all you need to do is to review their commod market performance in the 1990 decade, and you will quickly conclude they attempt to fake out the western powers on a regular basis you are not so naive as to take them at their word, are you? I expect a political trade before long: Taiwan for financial concession because I take them at their word: they want Taiwan China is not called an enigma without reason you seem far too content in your view toward them I merely point out that rising commod prices might help to push China toward a decision, replete with extensive political pressures AND YOU ACT WEIRD HERE having a bad day? a little constipated? relax, my friend your comments are not consistent with a thread monitor / jim p.s. if you had to guess, where is your next big error?