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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (10770)3/23/2004 11:04:50 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 110194
 
we are in near total agreement for the next few months
I prefer to look at potential wrinkles on the horizon
which turns your words to kahkah, sadly
no more debate on details for a while
not constructive with your style
I am capable of learning without discussing

are you dense?
I see your point, I see it all along
I agree with 90% of what you say
you convinced me that a Russ-ist path to quick price inflation is incorrect
but you continue to piss and piss and piss, now at me

do you see any milestone on DEFLATIONARY HIGHWAY which indicates a turn in the road for rates?
can you only think about the next 2-3 months?

since I dont share your shorterm horizon, all my hunches, analyses, identifications, perceptions beyond 6-9 months are irrelevant and worth your mockery

THAT IS MY POINT !!!

it was precisely this style of thought and analysis which led me to conclude last summer that JYen would bust out
did your deflationary scenario sense that coming?
WE GOT IT, even my JYen 95 target
next is 100-101 target before late autumn

sorry, Mike
but you have lost me for a while, not with content, but respect
I have not said rates will sharply rise
I attempt to identify what might make them rise
and I expect at some time they will rise
I also expect some changes to China slowly but surely
maybe they hang on course until the 2006 Summer Olympics

kick a guy in the nuts, and his ears close
I will still read, because my nuts dont have eyes
/ jim



To: mishedlo who wrote (10770)3/23/2004 11:13:10 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
I am upset because you disrespect those who disagree,
even when their time horizon is longer than yours

dont worry, I have a long fuse
I withdraw it once in a while
and value cyberfriendships
esp with really bright people

it is not a contradiction to believe one thing during the next 2-3 months, or the next 2-6 months
but to believe another thing in the distant 6-18 months
you seem unable to respect such thought process

you didnt disprove SHIT
except perhaps in the next 2-3 months
this is not really a debate to win or lose
it is a thread to discuss potential factors for change
you set up discussions as WIN-LOSE, to your detriment
I attempt to set them up as SHARE-LEARN

we are playing different games
and I stop playing your game
you totally overlook the time change horizon
and also, you engage in aggregate thinking, just like numbnut US economists

China is not an aggregate entity, and you argue like it is
it is incredibly different, vs USA or vs EU
(falling currency or rising currency)
it is incredibly different, vs USA or vs Japan
(big surplus or big deficit)
they set up a Shanghai Gold Exchange last summer
it is part of their plans
they have their fingers in 16 pies, not one

is this what you are about, WINNING or LOSING ???
not me, sorry
I am about learning from different points of view
I learn from you
one thing I learn is that your huge disrespect is harmful

/ jim