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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rubed who wrote (10789)3/24/2004 11:10:24 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Fed has painted itself into a corner
bond speculation with futures contract leverage
and yield carry trades
are all powerfully locked into the current equations

that the Fed will fight tooth and nail not to let rates rise
GreenMan issued a loose warning last month on the matter

then you have all the corporate rate swaps
they too have locked themselves in a closet
a rise in rates will badly affect corp debt carrying costs

these forces are critically characteristic of the slow motion movement into the Liquidity Trap
with rates dropping, economy slowing, rising commodity prices hitting profit margins and household spending, layoffs hitting hard and will continue to hit hard

Greeny represents the banks
he now advocates mortgage holders to pursue adjustables
that would let the bankers off the hook
and render homeowners to carry the rate risk

Kramer has very little understanding of anything which appears on this post

/ jim