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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Little Joe who wrote (10848)3/26/2004 1:31:35 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
entire US Economy has become critically dependent upon the bond speculation game

- yield carry trade (borrow at 1%, invest at 4%)
- leveraged TBond investments
- mortgage bonds
- mortgage refinances to lower rates
- home equity extractions

the US Fed will fight to stop higher rates
EVEN IF IT MEANS MARCHING INTO A LIQUIDITY TRAP
governed by a tight grip on low interest rates
i.e. a vise on the testicles

a Japanese-like STAGFLATION lasting over a decade
is preferable to a recession which gathers momentum downward
and becomes something much worse

why is is so difficult for American experts to notice that the USA is following step by step the Japanese errors?
we are now linking our banking and GSE agency system to overvalued real estate, just like Japan did
we are now watching a slowdown in the real economy dictate that interest rates head to zero, just like Japan did

/ jim