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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (18967)3/28/2004 7:56:58 PM
From: Elroy JetsonRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
This is always what happens in a housing bubble, the supply of homes for sale diminishes. The owners are fearful of selling, unless they're moving out of the area. More importantly, owners sitting on a home with greatly inflated value cannot move up to a better home without a disproportionately large increase in costs. The number of homes for sale will begin to increase once home prices start to decline. The number of homes for sale increases dramatically after the third year of declining home prices.

Real estate bubbles in the housing market collapse when you run out of buyers either due to price or a change in sentiment. It's always difficult, perhaps impossible, to pinpoint the top of the bubble. But declining home sales since June of last year are typically what you would experience a year or so before the top. Equally important, home prices have been declining during the last six months.

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