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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ItsAllCyclical who wrote (10927)3/29/2004 1:49:37 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 110194
 
BOJ is worried sick over losing hotmoney
if they intervene, they lose the last six months worth of hotmoney that has come to their financial markets

few seem to focus on the Nikkei and their banks
Japanese banks have too much reserves tied up in stocks
their banks are no longer underwater lately
if hotmoney departs from falling JYen, then banks go back to underwater

BOJ finds itself with Sophie's Choice here
let exporters suffer (from rising JYen)
or let banks go underwater again (from falling JYen)

it is clear to me which is the next course
exporters can adjust to selling more to China and less to America
banks must remain out of danger
this is an easy call, with little head scratching

/ jim