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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: American Spirit who wrote (11219)4/1/2004 12:13:18 AM
From: stockman_scottRespond to of 81568
 
SUPER TUESDAY? THAT WAS KID STUFF

_____________________________________

by Lee Walczak, with Richard S. Dunham and Paula Dwyer, in Washington
BusinessWeek
Mar 15 '04

Normally, you might expect a politician who had just blitzed through his party's Presidential primaries to give his travel agent a call. Time to book a quickie Caribbean getaway, kick back, and lose that chronic campaign cough, right?

Not in these days of the perpetual campaign. True, Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry has the Democratic nomination sewn up, thanks to a near sweep in the Super Tuesday round of contests held on Mar. 2. His last real opponent, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, pulled out a day later. Still, the last thing Kerry can do is relax, because President Bush's reelection campaign is going on the offensive. On Mar. 4, the Bush- Cheney team kicked off a big national cable and TV ad campaign in the first round of general-election sparring.

So rather than reach for his bags and sunscreen, Kerry will immediately have to get to work energizing Democrats by touring battleground states. He also has to begin the tricky business of picking a running mate (page 45). And, if that weren't enough, Kerry must work the phones furiously, hitting up donors in an urgent bid to replenish his war chest and pay off a $6.4 million personal loan.

Once he gets a cash infusion, some hard slogging is in store. Kerry will need to spend furiously on a media strategy that, by making the economy its focus, provides some cover as the bruising next round of Campaign '04 gets going. The days of parrying genteel intraparty rivals such as Edwards are about to give way to the much tougher job of fending off attacks by President George W. Bush and his $200 million campaign machine. Kerry will face a harsh assault on his voting record, values, and veracity. “Kerry got the nomination by steering past the wreckage of an imploding Howard Dean,” says Bush adviser Ralph Reed. “He hasn't really been tested.”

Indeed, Kerry is still benefiting from his romp in the primaries. When paired against Bush and Dick Cheney in a poll conducted by CBS News, a hypothetical Kerry-Edwards ticket came out on top, 50% to 42%. Republicans, however, believe the poll numbers are fluff. Convinced that Kerry is the beneficiary of media coverage of the Dems' Bush-bashing primary duel, White House officials plan a multipronged assault to bring Kerry down to earth. “They're whistling Hail to the Chief at the Kerry campaign,” says former GOP National Chairman Richard N. Bond. “But they have no idea what's coming at them.”

CHEERLEADER-IN-CHIEF. Phase 1 kicked off on Mar. 4 with a $4.5 million media buy in 17 to 20 contested states. The ads, which depict the President as a strong wartime leader, will be shown on cable TV and spot broadcast outlets, with much of the emphasis going to sports shows popular with male viewers. The overriding theme is consistent with White House uber-pol Karl Rove's desire to use wartime patriotism as a club against nay-saying Democrats. “By taking the battle to terrorists,” says Bush's campaign manager, Ken Mehlman, “[Bush] has made Americans safer at home.”

The Bush barrage will perk up the President's poll ratings -- but only up to a point. “What works for Bush is the perception that he's resolute,” says independent pollster Thomas H. Riehle. “But he has never convinced people concerned about the economy that he really cares about this issue.” To combat that perception, the Bush campaign is laying on dozens of heartland economic forums that cast the President as cheerleader-in-chief for a healing economy.

Phase 2 of the offensive will be an attack on Kerry's record. As a four-term senator, he has cast thousands of votes that are being sifted by GOP opposition researchers. By harping on Kerry's inconsistent stands on the war, the USA Patriot Act, and even President Bush's No Child Left Behind Act, Bush hopes to tag his foe as a waffler who lacks a firm compass. “Voters don't know much about Kerry,” says the GOP's Bond. “But when you point out that he's a serial flip-flopper, it becomes a character issue.”

The climactic phase will be an assault on the Democrat's claim to be a middle-class champion within the cultural mainstream. Exhibit A will be a recent National Journal analysis, which finds that Kerry was the most liberal U.S. senator in 2003. In addition, Republicans will make Kerry's balancing act on gay rights a wedge issue in Midwestern swing states and with culturally conservative Latinos. “This is an emotional issue,” says GOP pollster Bill McInturff. “On balance, it's going to be bad for Democrats.”

Kerry realizes that if these charges define him, he's in trouble. So he's taking defensive measures. Kerry will step up his attacks of Bushonomics and what he sees as a failed unilateral foreign policy, and will try to make news during the spring with policy speeches and, perhaps, a high-profile foreign trip.

FRIENDS WITH MONEY. He will also turn up the afterburners on his fund-raising. The campaign may shift top rainmaker Louis B. Susman, a Chicago investment banker with Citigroup, to Washington to oversee an aggressive dialing-for-dollars operation. Kerry can also get aid in the form of ads funded by so-called 527 committees -- organizations set up by liberal groups to bundle unlimited soft-money donations for “educational” media and get-out-the-vote activities.

One such group, MoveOn.org, spent $7.5 million this year on anti-Bush ads and will soon air $2 million in new spots. Others, underwritten by multimillion-dollar pledges from liberal financiers such as George Soros, hope to collect $95 million for a get-out-the-vote drive to boost the Demo-cratic ticket. Independent spending by such shadow organizations “is not trivial, and it's probably a big reason why the Bush campaign is going on the air now,” says Kenneth Goldstein, a University of Wisconsin political scientist who tracks campaign advertising.

Of course, megabucks alone won't decide a race that is shaping up as another close contest between two revved-up party cores. Yes, Team Bush is happy to go up against a Northeastern liberal the likes of Kerry. But even the most partisan of Bush loyalists harbors slivers of doubt. “My nightmare is $3 [per gallon] gasoline,” frets one. Another fears “uncontrolled events in Iraq.” And everyone in Bushdom worries that lagging hiring by employers could let Kerry turn a campaign they want to hinge on terrorism and personal security into a debate over economic insecurity. “What still needs to improve?” asks one adviser. “The economy. Growth.” And that, of course, means the jobs the President insists are just around the corner.

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To: American Spirit who wrote (11219)4/1/2004 12:28:33 AM
From: stockman_scottRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 81568
 
Liberals finding their voice -- and it's angry
_________________________

Bush is target: 'We have been too nice'

by Kathy Kiely
KeepMedia > USA TODAY
Dec 01 '03

WASHINGTON -- President Bush a "liar?" Donald Rumsfeld a Defense secretary who "betrayed" his troops? Republican leaders in Congress part of a "concerted effort to erase the 20th century?"
Not since Richard Nixon left the White House have liberals felt so free to be feisty. After decades of being shushed and shooed aside by centrist Democrats who feared the party's left-wing image was turning off voters, liberals have kicked their way out of the political closet. They are loud. They are angry. And they've got a whole new attitude.

"We have been too nice. We have been too polite," says Ann Lewis, a veteran strategist with the Democratic National Committee, where the official party weblog is called "Kicking Ass."

The sudden emergence of an outspoken left wing may be the most surprising political development of the year. Until recently, liberalism could not have been more out of vogue. But in the six months since Bush appeared under a "Mission Accomplished" banner on a Navy aircraft carrier, the political dynamic has changed. Some indicators:

* Five books attacking the president have been on the USA TODAY bestseller list since August: Dude, Where's My Country by Michael Moore; Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them by Al Franken; Bushwhacked by Molly Ivins and Lou Dubose; The Great Unraveling by Paul Krugman, and The Lies of George W. Bush by David Corn. Their prominence has matched, at least for now, similarly angry tomes by conservatives. "There's a rising tide of liberal ideas and liberal activity," says Joe Conason, whose book about conservatives, Big Lies , was held back until Baghdad fell.

* The Internet has witnessed a surge of liberal activity. It's led by MoveOn.org, a Web-based political organization that has grown to 1.8 million members since it was founded during President Clinton's impeachment trial. MoveOn recently began a $10 million fundraising drive to pay for an anti-Bush ad campaign. One ad earlier this year featured Larry Syverson, a Richmond, Va., man with two sons stationed in Iraq who claims Rumsfeld "betrayed" them by failing to have a better post-war plan.

* Nearly two dozen liberal groups have created Americans Coming Together, an effort to coordinate labor unions, environmentalists and feminist groups for the 2004 political campaigns. And John Podesta, Clinton's former White House chief of staff, founded a think tank called the Center for American Progress to counter conservative idea factories that support scholars and churn out study papers. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton appealed for contributions to the center at the group's launch party, where she accused Republicans of trying to "erase the 20th century."

* International financier George Soros, who's worth about $7 billion, has pledged $15.5 million to anti-Bush, anti-conservative groups. He's giving $10 million to Americans Coming Together, $2.5 million to MoveOn.org and $3 million to the Center for American Progress. He's also writing his own anti-Bush book. The Bubble of American Supremacy , a critique of the president's foreign policy, hits bookstores next month.

Hillary Clinton's presence as a keynote speaker at the center's debut party was a striking sign of the changing political times. Bill Clinton helped found the Democratic Leadership Council to move his party toward the political center and advocate policies appealing to voters whom Democrats were alienating: blue-collar workers, rural gun owners, fiscal conservatives. He won the presidency twice by avoiding traditional liberalism. On some issues, such as crime, free trade and welfare, he even tried to outflank Republicans.

In the presidential campaign this year, the most successful Democrat is doing just the opposite. Howard Dean is leading in most polls and has raised more money than his rivals by capitalizing on anger against Bush that is so strong, it surprises veteran Democrats. Rep. Robert Matsui, a California Democrat who has been traveling the country to raise money and recruit candidates for House races, says feelings against the president are running at near-vitriolic levels.

"I've had really intelligent people say, 'As soon as he gets on TV, I turn it off. I just can't stand him,' " Matsui says. "It's kind of stunning."

Using conservatives' tactics

Today's liberals admit they're trying to follow a trail blazed by conservatives. Some political historians trace the beginnings of the Republican rise to power to Lyndon Johnson's landslide victory over Barry Goldwater, a staunch conservative, in 1964. Like the Democratic liberals of the 1990s, conservatives then were viewed as troublemakers for the Republicans -- zealots whose doctrinaire views cost the party votes.

Conservatives worked hard to regain a foothold in Washington after Goldwater's defeat. They founded grassroots organizations such as Phyllis Schlafly's Eagle Forum. They struck up alliances with conservative Christian organizations eager to oppose social policies offensive to their members. They used an innovative direct-mail fundraising system pioneered by conservative Richard Viguerie to find like-minded Americans willing to finance the cause. In 1980, they elected Ronald Reagan president.

But the conservatives didn't stop there. In the House of Representatives, which Democrats had controlled since 1955, a little-known Republican congressman from Georgia named Newt Gingrich got the idea to put the televising of House proceedings to work for their cause. Gingrich organized late-night talkathons in which he and other brash young ideologues would expound their views before the nation. Since the C-SPAN cameras never panned the chamber, viewers couldn't see that the speakers were declaiming to an empty House.

Conservatives took advantage of another medium in the 1980s: talk radio. Michael Harrison, editor of Talker, a newsletter that covers talk radio, says conservative commentators became stars because they spoke for Americans who didn't feel that their views were represented on TV networks or in newspapers -- "people who were really angry at the press."

...continued from page 1

Like the conservatives who helped lay the groundwork for the Reagan and Gingrich victories, today's liberals are angry. They're still angry about Clinton's impeachment. They're angry about the war in Iraq and its aftermath. And they're infuriated that Bush got fewer votes than Al Gore but, in their eyes, is running the country as though he earned a mandate.

Liberals are convinced that their views are being systematically excluded from the mainstream media. They feel surrounded by hostile think tanks, cable TV hosts and newspaper columnists. "The conservative right has out-organized, out-researched, out-written and out-talked the liberals to the point where they're almost intimidated into silence," says former senator George McGovern, a South Dakota Democrat who lost the 1972 presidential election in a landslide to Nixon.

Contributing to their outrage: a sense of powerlessness. Republicans control the White House, the Senate and the House. Liberals are convinced that Bush is out to pack the courts with conservatives. Ralph Neas of People for the American Way, a liberal lobbying group, says Bush wants to undo the work of Democratic presidents going back to Franklin Roosevelt.

Other liberals apparently share his fears. Franken is so angry about Bush that he's taking a detour from his career as a comedian. "I may do a radio show," the funnyman-turned-polemicist says. He promises he'll be as outspoken as the conservative talk jocks: "My contribution to the civility of the dialogue has been to get down and say, 'You're lying, and we're going to call you on it.' "

Playing catch-up

Liberals seem a long way from achieving the conservatives' success. Fewer than 20% of the people who respond to USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Polls regularly identify themselves as "liberal." About one-third call themselves conservative. By commercial measures, conservatives appear to be on top, too: On the Talkers' list of top dozen radio talk-jocks, none are liberal.

Another concern: Will a candidate who fires up the Democrats' liberal base alienate independent voters in November? Even as staunch a liberal as McGovern says their new aggressiveness could backfire. "It can be overdone, this pounding on the table," he cautions. "It could create a backlash."

Liberal strategists say they're in it for the long term. The role model they most often cite: Grover Norquist, an anti-tax conservative who began convening weekly meetings of conservative lobbyists, activists and opinion-makers in 1993. Norquist's "Wednesday Group" started with 15 people bent on stopping President Clinton's health-care plan. It has since grown to 120, all determined to advance the Bush agenda. Liberals are unabashedly imitating Norquist. Groups like America Coming Together and the Center for American Progress are part of the effort.

At least two attempts are under way to put more liberal voices on the radio. Tom Athans, the husband of Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., is trying to find and promote liberal radio talent. He and other liberals think part of the reason for their absence from the radio is that they have been, in Neas' words, "too earnest, too wonky" for prime time. Another group, led by former America Online executive Mark Walsh, hopes to buy radio stations and fill their airwaves with liberal programming.

Just as frustrated conservative activists did in the '80s and '90s, liberals have found a technological end-run around the established media: the Internet. Web-based connections helped transform MoveOn from a small group of disgruntled Democrats during the Clinton impeachment into a fundraising powerhouse. They helped turn Dean from an obscure governor of a small state into the man to beat for the Democratic nomination. Another innovation: weblogs. They're Internet sites that feature daily, even hourly, commentary by writers and publicly posted responses from readers. They're becoming incubators for a new generation of political activists, most of whom have little connection to party establishments.

"This is a technology that just clicks for them somehow," says Josh Marshall, the 34-year-old author of Talkingpointsmemo.com, a left-leaning weblog. Marshall says he gets about 40,000 readers a day. His recent appeal for contributions to finance a reporting trip on the New Hampshire primary yielded $4,864 in less than 24 hours. "I never thought I'd say this, but no more contributions!" Marshall wrote on his site.

Other liberal bloggers report similarly enthusiastic responses. Bill Scher, a 31-year old publicist who runs LiberalOasis.com from his Brooklyn home, says readers come to his site as an alternative to the mainstream press. "I think a lot of people felt the media was giving a pass to Bush," he says. Michael Stinson says he's had 60 million hits since founding Takebackthemedia.org in January. Says the 50-year-old Santa Barbara animator: "I've never seen so many people come together since the '60s."

Some conservative strategists see parallels with the situation they faced and the tactics they used when the Reagan and Gingrich revolutions were in their infancies. Most of all, they recognize a similar energy and tone.

"Republicans had better worry," says Paul Weyrich, a veteran conservative organizer. "Angry people are motivated to get out to vote. If they can channel that anger into something constructive, they can literally upset the presidency."

© Copyright 2003 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Co. Inc.

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