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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DizzyG who wrote (558731)4/1/2004 12:56:58 PM
From: J_F_Shepard  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769668
 
"Polls are the worst way of measuring public opinion and public behavior, or of predicting elections—except for all of the others."

I guess that says it pretty well except for this:

"Well designed, well conducted surveys work. Their record overall is pretty good. Most social, and marketing, researchers would be very happy with the average forecasting errors of the polls (less than 2% on two main candidates in presidential races since 1952)."

That's pretty good, isn't it? 52 years of meaningful polling....