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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (558759)	4/1/2004 1:51:06 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps	Respond to of 769668

Goldman Sachs on the budget deficit. WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Goldman Sachs Economist Bill Dudley said the U.S. budget outlook has deteriorated sharply in recent years to the point where chronic deficits appear inevitable unless priorities change. "Although some narrowing is likely from the $500 billion shortfall we estimate for fiscal 2004, it is apt to be modest and short lived," Dudley said in a new report. "Over the next 10 fiscal years, we expect to deficit to cumulate to $5.5 trillion, averaging about 3.5%" of gross domestic product. "After that," he went on, "the outlook gets even worse for two reasons. First, the cost of making the Bush Administration's tax cuts permanent rises over time. Second, outlays for Social Security and Medicare will surge as the baby-boom generation retires." Dudley said chronic deficits pose a threat to U.S. economic performance. "All else equal, they reduce national saving, crowding out private investment and raising interest rates in the process," he said. Message 19977016

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (558759)	4/1/2004 2:30:17 PM
From: Johannes Pilch	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769668

Not really touting the polls because they keep saying that Bush is ahead or even with Kerry. And get this, Bush hasn't even brought out the big guns yet. He is actually ahead of Kerry and the guy isn't really even trying. Since you enjoy polls, take a look: "March 31, 2004--Looking out over the next four years, 55% of American voters think George Bush will be more aggressive leading the War on Terror than John Kerry. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that just 28% believe Kerry will be more aggressive. The survey also found that half of America's voters (50%) believe that Richard Clarke is making his accusations about the President either to sell his book or to help John Kerry's campaign. Just 39% believe Clarke is merely a concerned citizen telling the truth about what he saw... (Emphasis in original) Half of those not affiliated with either political party (50%) believe that Bush will be more aggressive while just 21% of unaffiliateds pick Kerry... The survey also found that 63% of American voters believe Saddam Hussein was a terrorist. (emphasis in original) This figure includes 83% of Republicans, 51% of Democrats, and 53% of unaffiliated voters." rasmussenreports.com The evidence is clear, where Bush hits, Americans follow. This means when Bush begins pouring it on Kerry, it will certainly stick. Kerry is not in and of himself strong on anything.

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (558759)	4/1/2004 2:48:43 PM
From: Johannes Pilch	Respond to of 769668

Soft Supporters Challenge for Kerry March 16, 2004--In the early stages of Election 2004, 83% of George W. Bush's voters are "certain" they will vote for him in November. Seventy-two percent (72%) of Kerry voters say the same. The pool of voters who say they currently support a candidate but could change their mind are sometimes referred to as "soft" supporters. One challenge faced by every campaign is how to maintain or strengthen the loyalty of these soft supporters while also reaching out to attract a broader pool of undecided voters. At this point in time, the balancing act appears a bit more challenging for Senator Kerry than for President Bush. A review of survey data collected over the past week shows that 27% of Kerry's soft supporters identify themselves as conservative while an equal 27% say they are liberal. Actions by Kerry to solidify support for one of these wings runs the risk of alienating the other. rasmussenreports.com

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (558759)	4/1/2004 2:50:13 PM
From: DizzyG	Respond to of 769668

Incorrect, Kenneth... There are way too many flaws with polling data. The most obvious one is the size of the sample. Most polls use anywhere from 500 to 1000 people and then take the quantum leap of stating that this represents the sentiment of the entire nation. Sorry, but that just doesn't wash with me. From this point on, I will NOT publish polling data because I believe it does nothing more than muddy the water and attempt to sway public opinion. When the polls turn positive for Bush, and they will, you will NOT see me posting this information. Nice try though, Kenneth. Diz-

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (558759)	4/1/2004 3:00:12 PM
From: Johannes Pilch	Respond to of 769668

Bush Leads Kerry Thursday April 01, 2004--President George W. Bush now leads Senator John F. Kerry 45% to 44% in the latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll. That lead is statistically insignificant and well within the survey’s 3 percentage point margin of sampling error. However, it marks the first time Bush has outpolled Kerry since Richard Clarke’s testimony dominated the political news. rasmussenreports.com