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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (559129)4/2/2004 12:36:43 PM
From: DizzyG  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 769670
 
Sorry Kenneth but you can't have it both ways...

This is what you said in Feb.
Greenspan doesn't believe it. He said the payroll survey is much more accurate and the Household survey is inaccurate because of an over estimate in the size of the population.
Message 19859006

And now you are changing your tune with this?
Am I correct the Household Survey actually shows a loss of employment from February to March? If so, can we expect a substantial revision of today's figures?

Diz-



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (559129)4/2/2004 12:38:11 PM
From: PROLIFE  Respond to of 769670
 
Kenny, we are waitng for your daily Rasmussen poll numbers....what about it?



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (559129)4/2/2004 12:49:09 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Respond to of 769670
 
If history is any guide --- and it usually is a pretty damn good guide --- then we certainly can expect adjustments to the figures.

The clear pattern over the past few years has been adjustments *downward* (indicating that the job loss situation was poorly understood by the government, or that they were routinely putting a rosy cast to their figures)... but today's report had upward adjustments for Jan and Feb numbers, so the trend *might* have moderated, or even started a slow reverse --- but it is far to early to be confident of either of those conclusions.

See the below post. Seasonal factors also played a large role:

Message 19981553