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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (47913)	4/3/2004 12:32:46 AM
From: AC Flyer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

>>very wise<< I would think you would be ready to cut me a little slack, Jay, as you have forecast three of the last zero busts since 2001, and I have forecast none. Of course, the beauty of SI is never having to say you were wrong. :) So, on the record, I am forecasting zero busts for the balance of 2004 and 10+% gains in the Dow and Nasdaq by year-end. 2005 will be better. From 3Dspace, lead times from both my PRC suppliers have lengthened due to "material shortages." My primary supplier, located in Jiangsu province, tells me they are paying 80% more for steel wire, 20% more for aluminum wire than a year ago, and that they are shut down at least one day a week due to the rationing of electrical power. These centrally-planned infrastructure-type issues are where the 15% compounded China growth for 20 (pick a number) years goes off the rails, I would say.

To: TobagoJack who wrote (47913)	4/3/2004 3:06:58 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Jay 308K new jobs, most fingerprinters and photographers now that Bush wants to photograph and figerprint everyone!!!

To: TobagoJack who wrote (47913)	4/3/2004 3:25:12 PM
From: Dr. Voodoo	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay, update. I'm looking to reenter the market for a short term, but waiting about 1-2 weeks for a shallow pullback after funds have shot their wad for april. although likely seasonal, construction and farming related, i think the employment numbers are a pretty good sign. right now I'm mad at myself for missing out on HNP, this train will continue to leave the station. I am looking to load up around 75-80 ish. voodoo