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To: SwampDogg who wrote (94262)4/3/2004 9:35:02 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
This was spoke a lot about on this thread a few months ago and was certainly a respectable approach. I am just wondering why this is not that opportunity and why everybody here is still looking up.

What's not to understand? I thought I’ve been crystal clear here.

The down we had off the top, which I was fully prepared to look at as wave 1 down, evolved into bullish wedges on too many issues/indices for me to look down, especially in tech. I was more than prepared to short the retracement had we got a decent impulsive structure off the highs but we simply did not. Instead we got set-ups for longs so I bought.

I've said it before, I'm not an idealogue, I trade what I see. Believe me I’m far more comfortable when I’m in poots because fundamentally I feel like I'm on the right side, but we all know the market can stay dislocated from reality for eons and since I'm in this to make money I need to be long at the bottom of wedges and other corrections during uptrends. If I'm wrong then I'm stopped out, ain't happened yet.



To: SwampDogg who wrote (94262)4/3/2004 9:36:49 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Fuddle, I've only been using T/A for less than 3-years. The charts I've looked at since yesterday are some of the most bullish charts I've seen.

I'd say I could probably count on one hand (with a few missing fingers) the number of times I've seen stuff look this good coming out of a 2-month pullback.

As John M was fond of saying last May:

"Bears are Doomed."



To: SwampDogg who wrote (94262)4/3/2004 9:42:29 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Fuddle, early last December I was telling folks it was profitable to be cautiously irrationally long through the first of the year in spite of all the overbought charts.

I think cautious irrationality may do some folks a world of good. Trying to apply fundamentals to stuff like RIMM and AMZN, while mixing in US macro economic fundamentals is a total and complete waste of time, IMO. Why bother?
Charts tell us all we need to know.

Heck, you can even chart inflation quite nicely. Why bother with those stupid CPI reports that get explained away anyway?



To: SwampDogg who wrote (94262)4/4/2004 12:23:11 PM
From: marginmike  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
fuddle we are looking up because when sentiment shifts so quickly it usially is indicitive that the trend remains. In 2001-2002 everyone got bullish on any rally and we continued down. Now everyone gets bearish with a small move down, denotes that the trend up continues. I will say the fly in the ointment is p/c ratios which have been low, but 90% revershal days, bull bear surveys, rydex shifts etc are not saying down here