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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (192)4/6/2004 7:20:15 AM
From: ~digs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 7944
 
Yes... the best financial weblog that I have found thusfar is "The Big Picture" bigpicture.typepad.com I have been reading this one for a few months. Has a wide range of topics, but he mostly keeps things related to economics. Has an RSS feed which is a must these days, IMO.

Ray: are you using an RSS aggregator?



To: Raymond Duray who wrote (192)4/6/2004 7:23:40 AM
From: ~digs  Respond to of 7944
 
Research Note brettsteenbarger.com

April 6, 2004

The market rose yesterday, but the number of 20 day new lows rose as well for the second consecutive day. Over the past three days, here have been the figures for the 20 day new highs vs. the 20 day new lows:

April 1: 1273 vs. 304

April 2: 1673 vs. 638

April 5: 1622 vs. 969

What happens the day after the market (SPY) rises, when 20 day new highs exceed 20 day new lows, but when the 20 day new lows expand from the previous day?

Since 9/2002, we have had 51 such occurrences. The next day, the market (SPY) was up 19 times, down 32 times for an average loss of -.29%. For the days in the remainder of the sample (N = 336), the market was up 192 times, down 144 times for an average gain of .12%. A market rise in the face of rising new lows thus tends to reverse more often than continue its upward direction, at least for the short-term.