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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ilaine who wrote (48070)	4/6/2004 4:36:21 AM
From: Seeker of Truth	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 74559

Cobalt Blue, Please see my post 48075 which I mistakenly addressed to Jay Chen. It is for you. The most important thing we need to make money in the stock market is the scientific approach. Be careful that we have proof for every thing that we believe as fact. Look hard at the data, objectively. The rest follows from that. In your recent remarks aout Mr. Chen you obviously have not done that. If this is a representative sample of your ways of thinking then the probability of your making money in the stock market isn't high.

To: Ilaine who wrote (48070)	4/6/2004 6:56:08 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Hello CB, <<You've been on SI since 1/20/1999>> … Yes, this is true. <<That's five years by anyone's book, including yours>> … right again. <<To be precise, five years, three months, and some days, more or less>> … You have proven that you can count. Your other point being what? <<Sorry for both of us>> … no need to be sorry for me, I am doing fine, and expect to do better still; much better, by being more right than wrong again, and again, and yet once more. <<… and the others who admire you>> … whatever makes you write this cryptic note. I am not aware that there are admirers out there for me. Why do you believe so, and why do you think they are so? <<… that your veracity takes a back seat to your showmanship>> … how is that so? Veracity about what? Showmanship in what way? You are sounding angrier each and every time we dialogue, progressively getting more disjointed in dialogue so that I, for one, am having real difficulty knowing where you are coming from, why, as in for what purpose, and why you are not instead offering concrete postings about what you think and what you are doing about it, as in what you think you figure is around the corner and what you are buying, selling, holding, or not holding. <<Fun and games are, well, fun and games>> … Yes again. And your point being more explicitly what precisely? <<Truth isn't necessarily either>> … what about truth? What is your issue with truth? Do you like it or not? Are you for it or not? Do you see it coming at you or only see it in passing, or perhaps, as Maestro Greensputin, may not even see it after the fact, not in dusty archive, musty tomes? <<If you want to move on>> … I am not in any hurry. I am learning from the Collapse process, being patient, for a considerable period, until the truth reveals itself in full glory, for the blind to see, and mob to believe, just like last time, only more so. If you see different, then you should logically load up on … what, real estate, shares, bonds, … what? Oh, yeah, I forgot, you don’t talk about buy/sell/hold. <<it seems to me that you have two choices>> … wrong again, I got a lot more than two, because I am next to Freedom Mountain Kowloon and Money Rock Hong Kong. <<Find another venue, or deal with your track record in this one>> … No and already done, and so no need to do again. <<Actual track record, not imaginary>> I am not aware that there are two, and so I wait for illumination on what is one, which is another. Chugs, Jay P.S. Getting back to the point, as in your original post to me this round Message 19992898 is the way I see it. What do you not see?

To: Ilaine who wrote (48070)	4/6/2004 8:31:05 AM
From: AC Flyer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

CB: My 2 cents. Jay correctly predicted the 2000/2001 tech wreck, imho. He's been 100% correct about the trajectory of the yellow metal. So, I think your round criticism of the tuning of his crystal ball is not justified. The only place that Jay and I differ, actually, is in timing. At the risk of speaking for Jay, he appears to believe that we are in a slowly-unfolding, ongoing crash. My pov is that, after the 2000-2002 correction, we are currently experiencing the third leg of The Great Bull Market in US equities. The crash will happen when secular demand enters a 15 year contraction at the end of this decade.