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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tommaso who wrote (3742)4/6/2004 6:51:49 PM
From: gregor_us  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Faber Too Has Wondered About Coffee and the Chinese.

I have wondered the same thing--about wine, and the Chinese.

It's easier to go "long" wine, than coffee, I think. I think the basic formula is to amass a collection, and that by selling 30-50% of it 10 years later you are then drinking the remainder "for free."



To: Tommaso who wrote (3742)4/6/2004 7:15:20 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Tom I am in the commodities camp.
But....
Right now I think China cools.
A LOT!
Everyone is record long those and if China cools the exit could be as gracefull as the exit in treasuries last week.

I repeat I do NOT recommend being short treasuries after this wipeout. As for commodities, I think they are a fundamental buy but not this overbought in face of a China cooling.

Mish



To: Tommaso who wrote (3742)4/6/2004 9:59:04 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 116555
 
What if the Chinese learn to like coffee? Look up Vietnam and Coffee... It's still really cheap up here...