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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (3830)4/7/2004 3:13:35 PM
From: reaper  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Darffot -- forgive if this detail is included in the articles you linked (haven't read them yet) but...

(i) i read a lot about the likely difficulties in siting re-gas terminals, but they are generally just statements (i.e. "it will be hard"), generally citing NIMBY, as opposed to anything offering evidence that it is difficult. i know the potential project in Maine was shot down, but wasn't one in Lousianna just approved? and i thought there was some progress on a couple of sites in Baja. plus aren't we expanding 3 of the 4 existing facilities, including my local one here in Everrett MA?

(ii) not enough new supply projects in the Atlantic basin -- does that matter? it is my understanding that at a natgas domestic price of $4-ish the economics for shipping all the way from Qatar (where there is a huge field that i believe XOM is developing?) work perfectly fine.

i sure don't think LNG is going to be any panacea, but my understanding is that it would likely keep the long-run equilibrium price in the $4-5 area (obviously quite a lot higher than the prior prevailing equilibrium of $2, but not an unmitigated disaster either).

Cheers