To: TigerPaw who wrote (8839 ) 4/7/2004 3:23:52 PM From: Patricia Trinchero Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 173976 Bush blunders has coattails in Congress:rasmussenreports.com Vote for Congress: Democrats 44% Republicans 34% Election 2004 Congressional Ballot Republican 34% Democrat 44% Other 5% Not Sure 17% RasmussenReports.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rasmussen Reports Home -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wednesday April 07, 2004--If the Congressional elections were held today, forty-four percent (44%) of Likely Voters say they would vote for a Democrat and 34% for a Republican. That 10-point edge matches the Democrat's biggest lead of the year. While 79% of Democrats say they will vote for a Democrat in Congress and 75% of Republicans say they will vote for their party, the big difference comes from unaffiliated voters. Among these voters, Democrats are preferred for Congress by a 21-point margin. This 10-point lead for the Democrats comes after several days of bad news from Iraq. Following that news, the President's Job Approval Ratings have fallen to their lowest level of the year. John Kerry has also gained his biggest lead of the year (6-points) in our daily tracking poll. Forty-four percent (44%) of Americans now give the President a "poor" rating for handling the "situation in Iraq." That is up from 38% a week ago. On the other hand, 39% now give the President good or excellent marks for managing the economy. That's up from 36% a week ago. For those who believe that "It's the Economy, Stupid," Rasmussen Reports provides frequent updates on public perceptions on the economy and its political implications. One of the most significant underlying factors is the nation's level of economic confidence. Recognizing this, we provide daily updates measuring the economic confidence of Consumers and Investors. We also provide weekly updates on the question of who voters trust more to manage the economy--Bush or Kerry. Congressional ballot figures will be updated daily between now and the November election. Rasmussen Reports also provides daily updates on the Presidential race. It is important to note that while surveys of Congressional ballot preference can measure broad trends and voter attitudes, they do not indicate likely results in the race for control of Congress. In the House of Representatives, only a handful of the 435 races will truly be competitive. Incumbents, especially those who have served more than one term, rarely lose. So, barring a major shift of public attitudes in favor of the Democrats, it is highly unlikely that Democrats will regain control of the House. The national telephone survey of 1,500 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports over the past three nights. Margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Methodology Generic Congressional Ballot Date GOP Dem Today 34 44 Apr 6 36 42 Apr 5 36 41 Apr 4 39 39 Apr 3 39 40 Apr 2 40 39 Apr 1 38 41 Mar 31 38 42 Mar 30 37 42 Mar 29 39 41 Mar 28 38 41 Mar 27 37 43 Mar 26 36 44 Mar 25 36 43 Mar 24 37 43 Mar 23 39 41 Mar 22 40 41 Mar 21 39 43 Mar 20 39 43 Mar 19 39 42 Mar 18 39 40 Mar 17 38 42 Mar 16 36 43 Mar 15 36 43 Mar 14 38 42 Mar 13 39 42 Mar 12 38 42 Mar 11 38 44 Mar 10 37 42 Mar 9 37 44 Mar 8 36 43 Mar 7 36 44 Mar 6 37 41 Mar 5 37 43 Mar 4 38 44 Mar 3 39 45 Mar 2 40 44 Mar 1 39 43 Dates are release dates Surveys conducted on preceding three nights RasmussenReports.com About Rasmussen Reports