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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bilow who wrote (128911)4/10/2004 10:44:54 PM
From: Bill Ulrich  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Is 6% a better number for you? My source for the 6% is Adeed Dawisha, a poli-sci prof born and raised in Baghdad, now in the US. Perhaps he doesn't mean the full area of the S.T. but the portion exclusive of Baghdad. Any insight beyond LOLs and insulting chortles?

journalofdemocracy.org

2% ... 6%, whatever doesn't change my underlying questions of decimating the disproportion:

Dawisha:
"If one looks at the total numbers of attacks (nearly all of which, every day, are "misses" that result in no harm to coalition forces and do not make the news), one see that more than 75% of them have occurred in the towns north and west of Baghdad and on the roads linking them,... Taken together, all these Sunni towns (including Tikrit, Ramadi, Fallujah, Baquba, Balad, Taji, and Dhuluiya) contain no more than 1.5 million people, or about 6 percent of Iraq's total population."

re: "Didn't you read the sentence preceding the one you quote?"
Yeah, I read it. Why should I adjust Vietnamese figures when I wasn't even talking about Vietnam in the first place? I'm talking about decimating the Sunni Triangle, that place where 6% of the people spawn 75% of the trouble.

re: "The Shiite civilians are shooting the crap out of us right now."
I qualified that in my original post (as "only recently" and "small minority", which it is). I could add some condescending insultive rhetoric like, "Didn't you read that sentence? Here, let me repeat it again" if I were going to be a prick about it. But I won't because I'm merely seeking some enlightenment and information in a decent discussion.

re: "why don't you look up how much supplies 155,000 troops eat "
I'd rather keep it focused on what I was questioning and seeking help with... 75% from 6%. Truck mileage and MREs, although valid ocnsiderations in the overall war, are not part of that.

Back to the topic:
1. If the 5% Solution of specifically the Sunni Triangle won't work, do you have an "x < 100%" guesstimate that would? My own opinion is 10%. I'm curious about yours.