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To: Suma who wrote (39399)4/14/2004 1:21:18 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 793896
 
Why, if you selectively hand-pick, oh, about 23 of the
470 words in the Aug. 6 PDB and artfully rearrange them,
the following message surfaces as clearly as a Magic 8
Ball answer: - "A bin ladin (sic) cell in New York to
hijack a US aircraft to mount a terrorist strike of World
Trade Center (and) in Washington."


Competition swells in 'who knew' sweepstakes

Kathleen Parker
April 14, 2004

WASHINGTON - Who knew? That's the question bugging Americans as the 9-11 commission tries to figure out what went wrong and how U.S. officials might have prevented the 2001 terrorist attacks on the U.S.

The piece de resistance, so to speak, was to be the now-famous Aug. 6, 2001, memo - the presidential daily intelligence briefing, or PDB, that addressed the al-Qaida threat and Osama bin Laden's possible intentions.

After much speculation about its contents and the level of expectancy that usually is scripted with lowered lights and kettledrums, the missing puzzle piece was declassified and released this past weekend. Titled "Bin Laden Determined to Strike in U.S.," the PDB says ... not much.

Not much new, that is. In fact, you have to wonder why the question, who knew? The more apt question - and the shorter list - should be who didn't know? As far as I can tell, the PDB mostly recounts not only what was already known, but what had already been published in the past few years by a variety of news sources.

With the wisdom of uncles Coulda, Shoulda and Woulda, we now can see clearly that the threat was there all along. Why, if you selectively hand-pick, oh, about 23 of the 470 words in the Aug. 6 PDB and artfully rearrange them, the following message surfaces as clearly as a Magic 8 Ball answer:

"A bin ladin (sic) cell in New York to hijack a US aircraft to mount a terrorist strike of World Trade Center (and) in Washington."

Given our knowledge of what did happen, these 23 words are easy to bring into focus, even though they're scattered throughout the document. Without such knowledge - or the paranoid compulsiveness of a Russell Crowe in "A Beautiful Mind" - an objective reading of the PDB produces these salient, if mostly historical, points:

- Bin Laden wanted to attack the U.S. in retaliation for the 1998 U.S. missile strikes on his bases in Afghanistan.

- Bin Laden was connected to the millennium plot to attack the Los Angeles International Airport.

- A clandestine source said in 1998 that a bin Laden cell in New York was recruiting Muslim-American youth for attacks.

- Another source said, again in 1998, that bin Laden wanted to hijack a U.S. aircraft.

The only piece of information that was arguably "new" - and chilling when viewed through the clear lens of hindsight - reads:

"FBI information since that time (1998) indicates patterns of suspicious activity in this country consistent with preparations for hijackings or other types of attacks, including recent surveillance of federal buildings in New York."


In addition, the memo said that the FBI was conducting 70 bin Laden-related field investigations throughout the United States following a call to one of our embassies saying that some bin Laden supporters were in the U.S. planning attacks with explosives.

I'm not a counterterrorism expert, but those two sentences seem to suggest the need for increased caution if not alarm, which probably explains why Bush ordered an alert sent to the FAA. But what else could anyone have done? Arrest Arab guys for acting suspiciously?

We have a tendency in this country to frown on things like racial profiling. Or arresting people without tangible proof of conspiracy or crime. We also have a tendency to turn distractedly tendentious during the political season, which our enemies comfortably rely upon.

It is of course useful to try to figure out how we missed what seems so glaringly obvious in retrospect, but the 9-11 commission has degenerated into a mock impeachment trial of President George W. Bush and an indictment of his administration. No serious person honestly believes that Bush would not have tried to prevent the Sept. 11 attacks if he could have.

As long as we're rehashing history, we might find a Time magazine article from Dec. 21, 1998, more instructive than the Aug. 6, 2001, PDB. Titled "Inside the Hunt for Osama," the story recounts, among other things, our government's attempts to prepare for various hypothetical terrorist attacks, none of them involving airplanes being flown into buildings, by the way.

Then-Attorney General Janet Reno called together 200 Washington, D.C., policemen to the FBI's headquarters to plan how they would react under various circumstances.

"But the war game - intended to help the agencies practice working together - quickly melted down into interagency squabbling and finger pointing," according to Time.

You'd think we'd have learned something by now.

©2004 Tribune Media Services

townhall.com



To: Suma who wrote (39399)4/14/2004 3:44:04 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793896
 
Pessimists Should Hear Voices of Free Iraqis

by Richard Brookhiser

The wars of our minds end clean, with a last fight, a handshake if the foe is worthy and a tribunal if he is not—Grant and Lee at Appomattox, or the seedy collection of seeming bookies, con men and child molesters who were in fact the Nuremberg defendants. In either case, the work of battle and diplomacy is done, and commentators can do what we do best: arrange tableaux.

Real wars keep going after they end, by other means or by the same means, as Iraq shows. The Baathists in Fallujah, augmented by foreign predators and the followers of Moqtada Sadr, the ambitious young Shiite politician/cleric, took the fight to the Americans. The Americans obliged.

The mere fact of having been here before throughout history is not comforting. Post-wars can be lost, just like wars. After the end of the Civil War, violent white resistance in the South rolled back black rights by weakening the North’s willingness to sustain Reconstruction. Robert E. Lee surrendered, but because the Ku Klux Klan did not, President Grant was unable to accomplish what General Grant had. That is why the fighting in Iraq is as important as it is depressing. The die-hards must die hard. But we, the television-watching public, have a task, too—not to be mesmerized into paralysis.

All postmodern war is mindful of the camera. When did
rabble the world over first bring hand-lettered signs in
English to their demonstrations? During Ayatollah
Khomeini’s revolution in Iran? A similarly iatrogenic
event landed on the front page of the April 10 issue of
The New York Times—the grinning Iraqi man, all teeth,
displaying a pair of American boots he had looted from an
attacked supply convoy. This shot was more badly staged
than most. No crowd, not even of idle boys, was gathered
for an Adoration of the Boots. The man was, seemingly, all
by himself, performing for Your Correspondent. College
girls on spring break show their boobs for Girls Gone
Wild; this Iraqi showed his boots for Baathists Gone Wild.
American men support the strip show with their bottomless
appetite for flesh; Americans support the boot show with
their appetite for failure.

Hence the need for other voices, other chat rooms. An Iraqi blogger named Ali asked, days after the fighting began, "What’s good about this riot?" (Ali’s English, though better than my Arabic, is not idiomatic, yet his choice of the word "riot," rather than "revolution," is interesting.) Historically, Ali explained, most Shiites wait calmly for the appearance of the Twelfth Imam, a messianic figure who will repair a broken world. Others, following the example of Khomeini, believe in leaders who can prepare the way for the Twelfth Imam. "After the fall of Saddam," Ali wrote, Shiites of both persuasions hoped "that democracy will give them their golden opportunity to take the lead in Iraq for the first time since the seventh century." So they "started a muscle show [show of force?] all over Iraq." Yet they soon discovered "that the democracy that is about to take place in Iraq was not the dictatorship of the majority they were dreaming about. Instead the democracy that was presented to them and which they couldn’t refuse was a liberal democracy that gave all minorities their right to preserve their religious and ethnic identity …. They were annoyed to be awakened from their vivid dreams." Sadr’s annoyance took the form of violence; more moderate clerics grumbled.

What does Ali hope for? "When this riot will be crushed … all the clerics will no longer seem as strong as they seemed before, and once they see … Sadir [his spelling] in handcuffs, they will think a million times before committing a similar stupidity in the future." Even though we are not clerics, we can offer a prayer: from his lips to God’s ears.

Mohammed, another Iraqi blogger, wrote this at the height of the fighting on April 9, which was also the anniversary of the fall of Saddam. "It’s the day that brought me back to life …. A year ago at the same date, the thieves and criminals prevented me from celebrating my freedom in the open air, and today thieves, criminals and fanatics are doing the same, but they will not steal my happiness …. A year ago, words failed me as I met the 1st American soldier, and I still remember his name, ‘Corporal Adam,’ and all I could utter was ‘thank you!’ [How] could I ever put my whole life in [a] few words? How could I have thanked that soldier enough? How could I have told him what it meant to me to see him and his comrades—who brought me back to life—at last? … I lit the 1st candle today to celebrate my 1st year as a free man."

Mohammed could speak to the unnamed Marine stationed in Iraq whose e-mail was posted by Andrew Sullivan on April 10, and which began in the classic laconic American mode: "Things have been busy here …. This battle is the Marine Corps’ Belleau Wood for this war …. We have to find a way to kill the bad guys only. The Fallujahans are fired up and ready for a fight (or so they think). A lot of terrorists and foreign fighters are holed up in Fallujah. It has been a sanctuary for them. If they have not left town they are going to die. I’m hoping they stay and fight."

Andrew Sullivan (at andrewsullivan.com) was my link to Ali, who appeared at Iraqthemodel.blogspot.com, which is where I found Mohammed. Are they a representative sample? Do I look like a pollster? Do they have their own agendas? No doubt. But their agendas—the desire for liberty, and the determination to secure it—compare favorably with those of the Boot Man, who is at best mischievous, at worst a fanatic too cowardly or incompetent to take up an AK-47, but willing to help the cause of re-enslavement in little ways. The confusion of voices from the ground, on whatever side, is infinitely more interesting than Bob Kerrey’s audition for a Vice Presidential nomination at the hearings of the 9/11 commission. We do have a war on, and mistakes will be made, though none so bad as the mistakes all of us, Republicans and Democrats both, made when we imagined we lived in a world of peace.

observer.com