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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: energyplay who wrote (48583)	4/15/2004 4:37:18 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Turtle System - originalturtles.org A good example of a mechanical system. While I am interested in systems, I am a discretionary trader / investor who like to find three things - 1) Big macro shifts - rise of China, decline of USDollar, tech bubble. I then ususally look for a leveraged way to play this. The closed end China fund CHN, was at one time selling at a discount to NAV. Currently, Japan fits the macro play. 2) Mis-prices asset classes, like energy trusts, or metal minning. 3) Individual mispriced stocks- like RRI, TMR, ROYL, KCS, PD, etc. 4) I try to keep in mind cyclical trends - there was a time about 2 years ago when I sold 90% of my energy stocks and stayed out for about 6 months, because they were going down. Within these themes I generally use a trend following/momentum approach. My DD is mostly seeing if there is a real mispricing and seeing if can find any obvious fleas on the dog. I will also tend to look at a comaprison of stocks in a sector, and buy the best 2, 3, or 4 out of maybe a dozen candidates. This gives me some diversity and means I have more of a sector call.