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To: Les H who wrote (10265)	4/20/2004 7:41:14 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29595

9-month cycle Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001 _ cycle tendencies _ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A. Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81 Dec 26 red yellow yellow 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54 Jan 21, 03 green yellow yellow 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66 Feb 18 yellow red red 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84 Mar 12 red red red 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63 Apr 7 green green green 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101 May 2 yellow green green 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67 May 28 red yellow yellow 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47 Jun 23 green yellow yellow 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69 Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53 Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40 Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58 Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45 Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64 Nov 17 green yellow yellow 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46 Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52 Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58 Feb 2 green green red 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40 Feb 27 yellow yellow red 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35 Mar 24 red red red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76 Apr 19 green green green 1136 + 45 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59 May 14 yellow green green 1118 - 18 1139 + 3 1118 - 18 21 Jun 9 red yellow yellow Jul 6 green yellow yellow Jul 30 yellow red red Aug 25 red red red Sep 20 green green green Oct 15 yellow green green Nov 10 red yellow green 22-week cycle Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11) Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4) Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3) May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1) Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4) Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7) Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2) Mar 10-14, 03 77 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11) May 27-30, 03 11 weeks high 965 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7) Aug 11-15, 03 22 weeks trough flat 990 next high 1053 on Oct 31 (week 11) Oct 27-31, 03 11 weeks high 1051 next high 1137 on Jan 16 (week 11) Jan 12-16, 04 22 weeks trough high 1137 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 7) Mar 29-02, 04 55 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2) Jun 14-18, 04 11 weeks Aug 30-03, 04 77 weeks trough Nov 15-19, 04 11 weeks 26-week Dow cycle troughs Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379 Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks sample size 11 Spring sample 6 Fall sample 5 total 285 weeks total 132 weeks total 153 weeks average 26 weeks average 22 weeks average 31 weeks st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 2 weeks next approximate Dow trough Aug 11, 04 20 weeks minimum length in samples Aug 25, 04 22 weeks average length in Spring samples Sep 22, 04 26 weeks average length in samples source of dates timeanddate.com