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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bearcatbob who wrote (15886)4/18/2004 9:19:14 PM
From: CalculatedRiskRespond to of 81568
 
Now I'm puzzled. The numbers from the WSJ article were (as I wrote them down):

"U.S. Revenue Springs a Leak"

2001 SURPLUS = $374b (1)
2004 DEFICIT = $523b

Difference:
Individual Tax cuts: $287b
Technicals: $269b (2)
Spending Increase: $251b
Weak Economy: $90b

(1) The WSJ includes SS surplus in the annual surplus / deficit. I calculate the deficit based on the increase in the National Debt.
(2) "Technicals" (their term) include business tax breaks, moving income to capital gains, costs of health care / pensions, etc.

I checked with the IRS site, and it looks like individual income tax declined $191 Billion annually from fiscal 2001 to 2003. That would include both the tax cuts and the weak economy.
SOURCE: irs.gov

So the WSJ's estimate of the individual tax cuts contributing $287 Billion to the deficit in fiscal 2004 might be a little high. Still, I would think rolling back the tax cuts for the top 2% would contribute more than $250 Billion over 10 years.

I will try to find the WSJ article and so if I made a mistake.