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Politics : Impeach George W. Bush -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas M. who wrote (26339)4/20/2004 5:21:47 PM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 93284
 
Yes, and there has been a lot of debate back and forth since then, and will continue to be. The Strategic Survey is not the last word on the subject. But, as promised, I have to wrap it up, so maybe later........



To: Thomas M. who wrote (26339)4/21/2004 9:22:34 AM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 93284
 
Here is a review of a book that supports Truman, "Code-Name Downfall: The Secret Plan to Invade Japan" by
Norman Polmar, Thomas B. Allen:

What would have happened if bombs had not been dropped on Japan in August 1945?

Distinguished military historians Thomas B. Allen and Norman Polmar answer that provocative question in Why Truman Dropped the Atomic Bomb on Japan, a vivid and dramatic narrative of America’s war in the Pacific, which would lead inevitably to massive amphibious assaults against the Japanese home islands.

Based on newly declassified documents, personal interviews, and a decade of meticulous research, their book traces the progress of the Pacific War and reveals the top-secret details of the plans and preparations, on both the American and Japanese sides, for an invasion that would be far more complex—and costly in human lives—than the D-Day landings in France.

In June 1945, with no knowledge as yet of the atom bomb’s effectiveness, President Harry S. Truman approved the plans for the invasion—Operation Downfall. In the Pacific, troops, ships, and assault craft were being assembled in unprecedented numbers. Japanese cities were being devastated by relentless aerial bombardment in preparation for the assault. To repel the invasion, Japan had almost two million troops under arms, while more millions of civilians were being trained to kill the invaders, with guns, explosive charges strapped to their bodies, and even bamboo spears.

Thousands of planes and midget submarines were being produced by the Japanese for suicide missions. Death was preferable to surrender. Both sides were considering using poison gas and weapons of germ warfare. Had the invasion taken place, it would have prolonged the war by a year and a half, turned Japan into a wasteland, and cost the lives of possibly hundreds of thousands of Americans and millions of Japanese. It would have been the bloodiest and most bitterly fought battle of any war in history.

But there was no invasion.

President Truman authorized the use of atomic bomb. After the destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and following an abortive military coup and intensive debate in the military-ruled government, Japan surrendered. The authors reveal how a faction in the Japanese military plotted to overturn the Emperor’s decision to surrender and planned to fight on. They also reveal the conflicting opinions and strategies on the American side, where some believed that an invasion would not be necessary to defeat Japan, while others, most notably General Douglas MacArthur, were eager to invade, whatever the costs. But perhaps their most shocking revelation is that while Truman hoped the bomb might end the war, it was not considered as an alternative to invasion. If Japan had fought on, additional atomic bombs would have been used against Japanese cities and in direct support of the amphibious landing.

Some historians have argued that the use of the atomic bomb was both unnecessary and immoral. Allen and Polmar totally refute that argument and back up their position with hard evidence. More than that, the authors describe the deep personal beliefs of the men who determined the course of the war, not only from the vantage point of history, but also in the context of that terrible time. In the end, with new knowledge and understanding of the events during these climactic days of the war, readers will be able to decide for themselves whether Truman’s decision was justified.


rossperry.com



To: Thomas M. who wrote (26339)4/21/2004 9:25:17 AM
From: Neocon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93284
 
Here is a letter from Trumqn to a historian explaining his decision:

Below is a letter written by Harry Truman on January 12, 1953 to Prof. James L. Cate which seems to clearly present his understanding of the necessity of using the atomic bombs to end World War II.

THE WHITE HOUSE
Washington
January 12, 1953

My Dear Professor Cate;
Your letter of December 6, 1952 has just been delivered to me. When the message came to Potsdam that a successful atomic explosion had taken place in New Mexico, there was much excitement and conversation about the effect on the war then in progress with Japan. The next day I told the Prime Minsiter of Great Britain and Generalissimo Stalin that the explosion had been a success. The British Prime Minister understood and appreciated what I'd told him. Premier Stalin smiled and thanked me for reporting the explosion to him, but I'm sure he did not understand its significance. I called a meeting of the Secretary of State, Mr. Byrnes, the Secretary of War, Mr. Stimson, Admiral Leahy, General Marshall, General Eisenhower, Admiral King and some others, to discuss what should be done with this awful weapon.

I asked General Marshall what it would cost in lives to land on the Tokyo plain and other places in Japan. It was his opinion that such an invasion would cost at a minimum one quarter of a million casualties, and might cost as much as a million, on the American side alone, with an equal number of the enemy. The other military and naval men present agreed. I asked Secretary Stimson which sites in Japan were devoted to war production. He promptly named Hiroshima and Nagasaki, among others. We sent an ultimatum to Japan. It was rejected.

I ordered atomic bombs dropped on the two cities named on the way back from Potsdam, when we were in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. In your letter, you raise the fact that the directive to General Spaatz to prepare for delivering the bomb is dated July twenty-fifth. It was, of course, necessary to set the military wheels in motion, as these orders did, but the final decision was in my hands, and was not made until we were returning from Potsdam. Dropping the bombs ended the war, saved lives, and gave the free nations a chance to face the facts. When it looked as if Japan would quit, Russia hurried into the fray less than a week before the surrender, so as to be in at the settlement. No military contribution was made by the Russians toward victory over Japan. Prisoners were surrendered and Manchuria occupied by the Soviets, as was Korea, North of the 38th parallel.

Sincerely,
(The letter was signed by Harry Truman.)


theenolagay.com



To: Thomas M. who wrote (26339)4/21/2004 9:53:27 AM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 93284
 
From an academic journal:

The great atomic bomb debate
Text by Bryan McNulty

During 1995, the fiftieth anniversary of the end of World War II, the United States planned to issue a postage stamp showing the Hiroshima atomic mushroom cloud with the words: "Atomic bombs hasten war's end, August 1945." The Japanese government protested, and the stamp was canceled.

That same year, the Smithsonian Institution's Air and Space Museum planned a commemorative exhibition on the Enola Gay, the B-29 that dropped the atomic bomb on Hiroshima. The museum director was forced to resign after a massive public outcry, particularly by veterans groups, against leaked early scripts. The scripts emphasized the horrors of the atomic bombing while offering little about the Japanese aggression and atrocities that prompted the bombing.

The atomic bomb issue carries perennial symbolic potency: Hiroshima commemorizations each August 6 trigger journalistic deliberation around the world about the morality of the first and only use of atomic weapons.

President Harry S. Truman's decision to use the atomic bomb on two Japanese cities remains one of the most passionately debated historical events of the twentieth century. The controversy boils among historians who have spent a lifetime analyzing the use of the atomic bomb, veterans who lived through the horrors of World War II, and a public influenced largely by media sound bites.

Careers in history are made by examination and re-examination of events such as these. Although the atomic bombings happened fifty-two years ago, contemporary researchers examine every archive, every recollection, and every possible motivation surrounding the decision.

Some respected historians say the bombing was avoidable at best, and analogous to Nazi war crimes at worst. They argue that there were alternatives to using the bomb: naval blockade, modification of unconditional surrender terms, conventional bombing, and waiting just a little longer to see if the Soviet Union's August 9 entry into the war would prompt the Japanese to surrender.

But according to a consensus of historians with the Ohio University Contemporary History Institute, such conclusions ignore context, including the war's own momentum and the broader historical record. For example, Okinawa - the deadliest Pacific War battle - had ended in mid-June, with nearly 50,000 American casualties. At that time, Truman told his Joint Chiefs of Staff that he "hoped there was a possibility of preventing an Okinawa from one end of Japan to the other."

"The denouncers of the atomic bombing are joined by many aggrieved Japanese who see themselves as victims of a terrible and indiscriminate weapon," says Alonzo Hamby, Distinguished Professor of History in the College of Arts and Sciences at Ohio University, and author of Man of the People: A Life of Harry S. Truman. "All humane individuals would prefer that the bomb had not been used. Many scholars, after careful examination of the sources, nonetheless have come to the conclusion that its use was necessary."


On August 6, 1945, a single bomb was dropped on Hiroshima, killing 80,000 people immediately and about 60,000 more within six months. On August 9, a second atomic bomb that ultimately killed about 70,000 people was dropped on Nagasaki.

General of the Army George C. Marshall worried that even with the two atomic bombings, an invasion might be necessary. He had earlier observed that in a raid with conventional bombs five months before, "we had 100,000 people killed in Tokyo in one night and it had seemingly no effect whatsoever." In fact, it took another six days after the second atomic bombing - and the foiling of an attempted coup by military diehards who wanted the nation to fight to the end - before Emperor Hirohito, in an unprecedented personal radio broadcast to his nation, cited the "new and most cruel bomb" in announcing the surrender.

"The U.S. knew that the Japanese had given no indication that they were going to surrender," says Ohio University World War II historian Marvin Fletcher. "The use of the bomb to convince the Japanese of what was obvious - that they had lost the war - was a necessary choice. Truman would have been derelict if he had done otherwise. The number of Americans and Japanese who would have died if the invasions had gone as planned would have been, in my mind, higher than the number of Japanese who died at Hiroshima."


While the Institute's historians agree on the bomb's necessity, some question the necessity of dropping the Nagasaki bomb only three days after Hiroshima.

"A few more days might have given the Japanese government more of a chance to consider the idea of surrender," Fletcher says. "However, I still believe the basic decision was the correct choice to make."


Pendulum swings from necessity to Realpolitik

The revisionist historians' skepticism about the real reason for dropping the atomic bombs has been healthy because initial postwar histories gave short shrift to the foreign policy implications of dropping the bomb, says Contemporary History Institute Director Chester Pach.

"The most credible revisionist argument is that thinking about the bomb and thinking about the Soviet Union were tied up together," says Pach. He notes that several top officials, most prominently Secretary of War Henry Stimson and Secretary of State James Byrnes, were constantly considering the implications of the bomb and its use in international diplomacy - particularly in Soviet-American relations - as the culmination of America's $2 billion investment in atomic weapon development.


On the other hand, Pach says, "the least credible revisionist arguments are that Japan's overtures in June and July towards negotiations that might have dealt with peace was tantamount to surrender or seeking surrender. That simply doesn't hold water. I would not rule out that influencing the Soviet Union was a factor for principal officials who were involved with the bomb, but I don't agree that it was the primary consideration."


Debate raged for weeks this fall on H-DIPLO, an international Internet debate forum co-edited by Pach and Ohio University Distinguished Professor of History John Lewis Gaddis and used by faculty and graduate students interested in diplomatic history. It followed a harshly critical review of The Decision to Drop The Bomb, a book by one of the leading revisionists, atomic bomb historian Gar Alperovitz. Pach says this Alperovitz book, as well as an earlier book dating back to 1965, argue "that military considerations and a quick ending to the war had little, if anything, to do with using the bomb - the bomb was used essentially as an anti-Soviet weapon." Pach says the acrimonious Internet debate sparked by the review at times got to the point of microscopic analysis of footnotes in eight hundred-page books, "not unlike controversy between Biblical scholars over the meaning of a couple of words."

"It is one of those subjects that, even when raised over and over again, bring on a level of passion that I think few historical topics do."

The evidence: who is right?

Until they were used, until the power of the atomic bomb had been demonstrated, the nuclear option precluded all other options - modifying unconditional surrender - because it promised dividends. The shock of the bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki would not only be felt in Tokyo, American leaders calculated, they also would be noted in Moscow. The military use of atomic weapons was expected not only to end the war; it was assumed it would help to organize an American peace. While these expectations and decisions may be understandable in the context of four years of scientific secrecy and brutal war, they were not inevitable. They were avoidable. In the end, that is the most important lesson of Hiroshima for the nuclear age.
- Martin J. Sherwin, Dartmouth College, Oxford Companion to World War II

There is a distinction between questions of interpretation and statements that can be affirmed or refuted by documentary evidence, says Ohio University's Hamby. Claims of "proof" that the Japanese were ready to surrender, he says, fall into the latter category.

Hamby says Sherwin's essay - the only essay on the "politics" of the atomic bomb in this major reference book - is based on the assumption that Japan was serious about surrendering prior to the atomic bombings. "In fact," Hamby says, "there is no empirical evidence that they were. It is quite true that Americans expected unconditional surrender from Japan, having obtained unconditional surrender from Germany. But before two atomic bombs had been dropped, there was no definite Japanese offer to surrender or, before August 10, to engage in anything but the vaguest of talks."


Hamby says the historical record shows this: The Japanese had instructed their envoy in Moscow, Naotake Sato, to seek Soviet mediation for a negotiated settlement, not the unconditional surrender demanded by the United States and Britain at the July 16 Potsdam Conference. Truman knew of this from coded messages broken by the American military and from the Soviets themselves. Sato's intercepted cables from Tokyo left the impression of a Japan unwilling to surrender and preparing to wage a bitter, suicidal resistance that might last for months if the nation was unable to get the terms it wanted.

"A distraught Sato on July 12 vainly urged an apparently gridlocked government in Tokyo to be specific and embrace unconditional surrender," Hamby says. "But the curt Japanese rejection of the Potsdam ultimatum on July 28 reinforced the worst American expectations."

The April 1945 U.S. invasion of Okinawa spelled the collapse of Premier General Hideki Tojo's government. His replacement, Admiral Kantaro Suzuki, told the Japanese Cabinet in June 1945 that thousands of kamikaze pilots would fly against enemy ships even in training planes, that millions of soldiers would fight what was called the "Decisive Battle" by suicide banzai charges, and that civilians would strap on explosives and throw themselves under enemy tanks.

To secure the approval of senior Army officials to his accession to premier, Suzuki affirmed that Japan's only course was to "fight to the very end" even if it meant the death of 100 million Japanese.



Truman was a front-line combat veteran of World War I who knew what the battlefield was like for the men and women who had to fight the war. Pentagon planners projected 132,000 American casualties (killed, wounded, and missing) for an invasion of Kyushu, the lower home island, and another 90,000 or so for Honshu, where Tokyo is located. Using Okinawa as a model -one American casualty for every four Japanese casualties - the U.S. Sixth Army's medical staff estimated the landing and battle to secure Kyushu alone could result in 98,500 Americans killed and 295,500 wounded.

Other historians, notably Stanford University's Barton Bernstein, have cited a worst-case estimate by the Joint Chiefs of Staff of 46,000 Americans killed in an invasion of both home islands. Hamby says this is a reasonable estimate, but it is irrelevant to the argument that atomic bombs should not have been used.

"Some critics have suggested that Truman should have engaged in a grim calculus, that it would have been the moral thing to accept a 'worst case estimate' of 46,000 American deaths and about 225,000 total casualties without use of the bomb. No one who might conceivably have been president of the United States in the summer of 1945 would have withheld the bomb while facing that prospect.

"My own research for the Truman biography revealed a president concerned primarily with saving American lives, shaken by the immense destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, but always convinced that he had done the right thing."

Adds Pach: "A lot of people write history on the assumption that Truman ought to have been looking for reasons not to use the bomb - that that should have driven his thinking. And that seems to me fantastic. Such an expectation misunderstands Truman and distorts how presidents act."


Who were the victims

On the battlefield men face the ultimate extremes of human existence, life and death. 'Extreme' conduct, although still ethically impermissible, may be psychologically inevitable. However, atrocities carried out far from battlefield dangers and imperatives and according to a rational plan were acts of evil barbarism. The Auschwitz gas chambers of our 'ally' Germany and the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki by our enemy America are classic examples of rational atrocities.
- Saburo Ienaga, historian and former Tokyo University professor,
The Pacific War, 1931-1945

While the atomic deaths were horrific, Ohio University Professor of History Donald Jordan says the horror was not unrivaled. The 1937 Rape of Nanjing, in which Japanese troops took the Nationalist Army headquarters city and then spent seven weeks killing up to 300,000 men, women, and children, by hand, is arguably at least as horrific. If rational plans at high levels are the determinant of "evil barbarism," Jordan points out that the deaths from the two atomic bombs are pale shadows to the deaths resulting from the Japanese military's systematic abuse and killings of prisoners of war and slave laborers from Korea, China, and Southeast Asia. And Japan was the first country in any of the theaters of war to create a deliberate firestorm in an undefended city when it bombed Shanghai in 1932, says Jordan, the author of Chinese Boycotts Versus Japanese Bombs.

While these and other Japanese military actions may make some of Ienaga's distinctions on the atomic bombing seem disingenuous, Jordan respects Ienaga for his dedication to trying to get a fuller picture of Japanese aggression in the 1930s and 1940s into the Japanese national curriculum.

"Until quite recently," Jordan says, "there has been very little in the national school system and national textbooks in Japan about the Japanese as aggressors, but a lot of information about what happened in the dropping of the atomic bombs. There is a younger generation that knows very little about the Rape of Nanjing or the 'comfort women' issue, in which thousands of women in occupied countries were forced to become sex slaves for Japanese troops. Now that the Liberal Democratic Party is no longer in total control, there is more information coming out. There are those who are willing to admit there were comfort women, and that maybe there was a massacre in Nanjing, but they have not been able to bring out in the National Diet (parliament) a forthright confession of aggression."

Jordan says the right-wing of Japan's Liberal Democratic Party tends to decry the morality of the atomic bombings, and stresses the Japanese as victims of the war.

"On the other hand if you go across to the Asian mainland, the Chinese and Koreans say, 'The rest of Asia were the victims, and the Japanese better get over that and quit looking at themselves as victims or we won't trust them.' There are museums all over China about the Japanese atrocities. The Chinese and Koreans have a very different view of who were the victims."

By contrast, Hamby says the Germans, particularly West Germans, "have practically wallowed in war guilt for two generations. There is a big contrast with the Japanese."

One of the cultural differences, says Jordan, is a "tremendous respect for the elders and earlier generations. It is very hard for the younger generation to criticize the older generation for having done something really wrong. This would be totally disrespectful of their grandparents' generation."


The bomb and POWs

In the latter part of June 1945, a note was posted in our camp. It was signed by Hideki Tojo. And it said, 'The moment the first American soldier sets foot on the Japanese mainland, all prisoners of war will be shot.' And they meant it. I hadn't been a prisoner for fifteen minutes before they bayoneted a fifteen-year-old Filipino kid right next to me - a kid so innocent he scraped together this little dirt dam with his last bit of energy so he wouldn't bleed on my uniform while he died. That is why all of us who were prisoners in Japan, or were headed for it to probably die in the invasion, revere the Enola Gay. It saved our lives.
- Grayford C. Payne, a survivor of the Bataan Death March,
quoted in the September 26, 1994, Washington Post


According to a report to President Roosevelt from the Joint Chiefs of Staff in September 1943, escaped prisoners had been providing accounts as early as April 1943 of malnutrition, cruel workloads, widespread torture, and murder of U.S. and other Allied prisoners of the Japanese. War planners worried about the fate of POWs in the event of a prolonged war or an invasion of the Japanese home islands. After the war, their fears proved well-founded: Of the 132,134 Americans, British, and Australians taken prisoner by the Japanese, 27 percent - 35,756 -died in captivity.

According to a 1995 book on the planned invasion, Code-Name Downfall, by Thomas B. Allen and Norman Polmar, Soviet troops who liberated a POW camp in Mukden, Manchuria, found 3,000 prisoners who, like prisoners in Japan, had thought they were about to be murdered as the Soviets approached their camp. A Japanese directive described how prisoners were to be killed: "mass bombing, or poisonous smoke, poisons, decapitation... . In any case, it is the aim not to allow the escape of a single one, to annihilate them all, and not to leave any traces." When Red Army troops in Manchuria approached the headquarters of Japan's infamous Unit 731, where POWs were subjected to germ warfare and other experiments, the lieutenant general in charge, Shiro Ishii, ordered all buildings, equipment, and the hundreds of human test subjects destroyed and burned.

Although there were isolated reports of prisoners of war being executed even after the surrender was announced, many believed the abrupt end to the war without invasion was their salvation.


The bomb and the media

Hamby has noticed a significant "generational effect" in attitudes to the bomb. For the World War II generation, dropping the bomb "seemed a natural step to end the war, and thank God we developed it instead of the Japanese or the Germans."

In a 1954 visit to Ohio University, Eleanor Roosevelt, widow of Truman's predecessor, gave a response that was typical of postwar majority opinion when she told a Memorial Auditorium crowd that "Truman made the only decision he could when he ordered the use of the atomic bomb. It was necessary to use the bomb to avoid tremendous sacrifice of American lives."

But a generation that connects American foreign policy with Vietnam is more skeptical of the true intentions of American foreign policy, Hamby says. And when that generation became the national news media, it changed what the public was told about the atomic bombings.

"For a period in the 1970s and 1980s," Hamby says, "you'd hear these very quick news reports about Hiroshima on the radio or TV which made it appear almost as if for some unknown reason, an American plane appeared over Hiroshima and dropped the atomic bomb. There was no reference at all to the context that there was a war going on."

For Ohio University Soviet historian Steven Merritt Miner, one of the most troubling aspects of the fiftieth anniversary commemorations in the news media was the equivalent weights given to nonequivalent historical events.

"Jim Crow laws and forced relocation of Japanese-Americans are very important parts of the American wartime experience. But the way it was portrayed on some television programs was that you have Auschwitz on the one hand and the Japanese relocations on the other."

Miner says the reason for the news media's treatment of the subject is understandable: They are giving greater weight to issues "that have become more important historically to the current generation of historians than they would have been before the 1960s. And to some extent that's good. But when you show an incredible historical ignorance about the actual course of the war, or about the experience of nine-tenths of the American people, that is skewed. It was presented as if we shouldn't celebrate the fiftieth anniversary because we're so deeply flawed - that we can't celebrate having won a war against a couple of the worst governments mankind has ever seen."

For both Miner and Pach, the news media's practice of emotionally hooking its audience by putting events in very personal and human terms frequently produces misleading history. Miner says it makes events that are not random seem that way: "'I was walking to work one day and the bomb dropped on me.' Well, yes, that is a terrible, awful thing. But there was a history behind it."

Pach adds: "You often can't put important context in a fifteen-second sound bite or film clip. And without the context, you can't understand what those stories mean, or whether they matter."


Whose history?

Is the debate over the use of the atomic bomb evidence for an argument that history is a fiction, put forth by both historians and lay public using selective references out of context to advance their own political agendas and careers?

"I think people gravitate toward certain positions that they find congenial for whatever reasons," Hamby says, "and then they devote their careers to trying to justify those positions and work them into a consensus. Sometimes they are successful, and sometimes they are not."

Hamby notes that when the Enola Gay issue made the bomb debate flare outside the circle of historians in 1994, many revisionists argued that "veterans who were trying to intrude into the argument didn't really know very much beyond their own point of view. I'm not sure professional historians should ever discount people who were there. If nothing else, they have a far better sense of the tenor of the times, very immediate feelings about what was at stake, than we do from trying to reconstruct it through documents."

A negative attitude toward historians also surfaced during the Enola Gay debate, and Miner says it is equally obnoxious: "The term 'professor' became a swear word."

Pach agrees, and says he is troubled by participants in historical events "who think that those who study the past as their profession are somehow detached intellectuals who don't quite understand how things were."

"Sometimes a person who was there does have a limited perspective, and sometimes the memory is flawed," Pach says. "Neither the professional historian nor the person who experienced an historical event can claim exclusive custody of history."

For more information on this research project, e-mail Alonzo Hamby, Chester Pach or Steven Merritt Miner, or visit the Contemporary History Institute.

Bryan McNulty is executive editor of Perspectives.


ohiou.edu



To: Thomas M. who wrote (26339)4/21/2004 10:16:07 AM
From: Neocon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 93284
 
Another academic look at the debate:

Alonzo L. Hamby, "The Decision to Drop the Bomb," Journal of American History, Vol. 84, no. 2 (September 1997)

American observance of the fiftieth anniversary of the end of World War II in 1995 occasioned bitter controversy. An uncomfortable Clinton administration canceled a mushroom cloud postage stamp and tentatively suggested that it might be kinder to Japan to talk of V-P Day instead of V-J Day. An angry dispute over the viewpoint of the Smithsonian Enola Gay exhibition culminated in a purge at the nation's greatest cultural institution. These books all deal in one fashion or another with the Enola Gay, that mushroom cloud, and its enduring implications.

Gar Alperovitz has been a presence of major significance in the study of the bomb and the endgame of World War II for a generation. His latest project, The Decision to Use the Atomic Bomb and the Architecture of an American Myth, has drawn wide attention. A critical review of it by John Bonnett that appeared on the H-Net diplomatic history service, H-Diplo, was followed by a protracted and tempestuous controversy (http: / h-net 2. msu. edu / - diplo / balp.htm). Alperovitz's thesis basically repeats the one pressed in his earlier Atomic Diplomacy (1965, 1985, 1994) but is stated at much greater length, much more elaborately, and with the help of no less than seven collaborators listed under his name on the title page. Extensively researched and documented by 112 pages of endnotes, this book is the end result of a long joint effort beyond the capabilities of most scholars. Financing came from no less than ten foundations or funds and "several individuals who traditionally have preferred to remain anonymous in their various philanthropic efforts."

Alperovitz argues that the atomic bomb was unnecessary to end World War II for the following reasons:

1. The Japanese government wanted to surrender; its leaders, military as well as civilian, rationally understood that the war was lost. But they had a determined attachment (irrational?) to the emperor. Japan would have surrendered, very possibly as early as June 1945, had its ruling establishment received guarantees of the emperor's personal safety and continuance on the throne. This should have been the first step in an American surrender strategy.

2. Any remaining Japanese reluctance to quit the war would have been quickly overcome by the second step, entry of the Soviet Union in August 1945.


3. American failure to accept and implement this "two-step logic" for an expeditious end to World War II was largely a result of the emerging Cold War and especially American concern over Soviet ambitions in Eastern Europe and northeast Asia.

4. The American public would have accepted some modification of the unconditional surrender policy in order to avoid prolongation of the war. The Washington Post and Time magazine advocated its abandonment; so did some United States senators. Many military leaders and diplomats-British as well as Americanconcurred.

5. President Harry S. Truman seemed inclined to give assurances on the emperor, then pulled back. He did so out of concern with Soviet behavior and with increasingly firm knowledge that the United States would soon have atomic weapons available. Coming to believe that the bomb would be decisive and anxious to keep the Soviet Union out of Manchuria, he dropped modification of unconditional surrender; moreover, he sought to prevent a Soviet declaration of war against Japan by encouraging China not to yield to Soviet demands beyond those granted at Yalta. In so doing, he acted primarily at the urging of James F. Byrnes, the archvillain in the plot.

6. Truman also refused to move on Japanese peace feelers, apparently in the belief that it was necessary to prevent a Japanese surrender before the bomb could be demonstrated to the world, and especially to the Soviet Union. The result was the needless destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki - and many allied casualties that need not have happened.

7. In subsequent years, the American decision makers of 1945 devoted considerable energy to the construction of a misleading "myth" that attempted to vindicate the use of the bomb by denying Japanese efforts at peace and by asserting grossly inflated estimates of American casualties that would have been sustained in an invasion of Japan.

For a "revisionist" work, this is very traditional history. Alperovitz stresses the doings of Great White Men engaged in a diplomatic chess game. He conveys no sense of the actions and passions of World War II. The battle of Okinawa dominated the first nine weeks of Truman's presidency and eventually accounted for one-quarter of all American casualties in the Pacific War; it is mentioned in passing without a hint of the way in which it intensified expectations of fanatical Japanese resistance. One never gets a sense that a war was still raging in much of East Asia and the Pacific, producing substantial casualties each day it continued.

At times written in the tone of an expose, The Decision to Use the Atomic Bomb is a lawyer's brief, repetitively citing evidence that supports its position, ignoring anything that does not. For example, its generalizations about public opinion make no mention of a Gallup poll on the future of the Japanese emperor, conducted June 1-5, 1945; 70 percent of the respondents favored either execution, trial, life imprisonment, or exile; 7 percent were willing to keep him on his throne as a figurehead. It is inconceivable that the author and his associates could have been unaware of this frequently cited survey. In the endnotes, they refer to other polls just a few pages away in the same reference volume.

At another point the book quotes as if it were accurate a passage from Newsweek (July 30, 1945): "Behind that curtain [of propaganda]Japan had put forward at least one definite offer. Fearing the results of Russian participation in the war, Tokyo transmitted to Generalissimo Joseph Stalin the broad terms on which it professed willingness to settle all scores."

The "broad terms" are never defined. In fact, they did not exist. Japanese approaches to the Soviet Union began in mid-July with what Truman in his diary called a "telegram from [the] Jap Emperor asking for peace." Alperovitz and other atomic revisionists have attached great importance to this communication, which did have Emperor Hirohito's personal interest. Yet Alperovitz's own summary and quotation shows that it contained no more than the emperor's hope that in order to end suffering the war might "be quickly terminated." It then went on to express Japan's resolve "to fight on with all its strength" so long as the United States and Great Britain insisted on unconditional surrender. It concluded by asking the Soviet Union to receive Prince Fumimaro Konoye as a special envoy. Because the Japanese neither presented an agenda nor specified any basis for discussion, both Washington and Moscow dismissed the proposal as meaningless and perhaps a stalling tactic to prevent Soviet intervention.

Alperovitz refers frequently to the subsequent diplomatic correspondence between Japan's foreign minister Shigenori Togo and his ambassador to the Soviet Union, Naotake Sato, an exchange of enormous importance because United States intelligence intercepted, decoded, and made it available to American policy makers. One would never know from this account that Sato-safe from the threat of assassination and perhaps with a more realistic perspective than his embattled superiors in Tokyo-warned Togo from the start that the initiative to the Soviet Union would be rebuffed and that unconditional surrender was Japan's only option. On July 12, driven by a sense of urgency and foreboding, he cabled Togo:

We ourselves must firmly resolve to terminate the war.... Is there any meaning in showing that our country has reserve strength for a war of resistance, or in sacrificing the lives of hundreds of thousands of conscripts and millions of other innocent residents of cities and metropolitan areas?

Rebuked for his insubordination, Sato was warned against giving any indication that Japan was prepared to surrender unconditionally.Just possibly, Truman and other American policy makers who read this and similar exchanges might have taken them as signals to offer some concessions, but it seems more plausible to read them as indications that Japan was determined to fight fanatically on to a bloody end.


In a communication to H-Diplo, Alperovitz has asserted that space considerations made it impossible to devote extensive attention to the Japanese side. One must note, however, that a full and accurate treatment would provide scant support for his argument.

How does one evaluate this presumably final installment of a career-long effort to argue a thesis for which the empirical evidence is at best indeterminate? Atomic Diplomacy first appeared as the United States began its massive and mistaken intervention in Vietnam. It drew an instant response from an intelligentsia increasingly alienated from American foreign policy. Its thesis probably never enjoyed majority support among American historians, but it remains accepted by many in the wider intellectual community. One suspects that scholars a generation from now will treat it as an artifact of the intellectual history of the Cold War, more significant as a project in delegitimization than as a convincing inquiry about the end of World War II.

Dennis D. Wainstock's The Decision to Drop the Atomic Bomb seems a modest effort indeed when placed against Alperovitz's thick, well-financed, heavily researched group project. Less than a quarter the size of the Alperovitz book, it reads rather like a dissertation that needed tighter supervision. The author has done earnest research in important primary sources (especially the Strategic Bombing Survey interrogations of leading Japanese officials). But he is either unaware of or uninterested in such influential secondary works as Leon Sigal's Fighting to a Finish (1988) and Robert Messer's End of an Alliance (1982). He also is quite uncritical in his use of sources. Occasional bloopers damage his overall credibility. Perhaps the biggest is his assertion that after the bombing of Nagasaki, "On Tinian, two more atomic bombs were ready for drops, tentatively scheduled for August 13 and 16." In fact, the next atomic bomb would not have been ready until about August 21, and Truman, hoping for a Japanese surrender, had ordered it kept in the United States. Wainstock's conclusions are mildly revisionist:

If the United States had given Japan conditional surrender terms, including retention of the emperor, at the war's outset [!], Japan would probably have surrendered sometime in the spring or early summer of 1945, if not sooner. . . . As it was, the dropping of the atomic bombs only hastened the surrender of an already defeated enemy.

Having failed to secure a constructive critical reading that would have made this study stronger, the publisher also has eschewed such frills as a dust jacket and competent copy editing.

Yet Wainstock deals with the Japanese side of the final months of the war more thoroughly and competently than does Alperovitz. He persuasively depicts a Japanese regime always a step or two behind the curve of the war, denying the certainty of defeat and unwilling or unable to state peace terms that might have been compatible with the American demand for unconditional surrender. At no point before the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki was the Japanese government prepared to surrender on the sole basis of the personal safety and nominal continuance of the emperor. (Who can doubt that had such terms been offered by the Japanese before August 6 they would have been accepted?) For many Japanese leaders, preservation of the emperor meant preservation of the imperial system, and with it their own positions. After the destruction of Hiroshima, the military leaders still rejected an American military occupation, disarmament, and war crimes trials conducted by the victors. News of the Nagasaki bomb was decisive, not in changing their minds, but in motivating the civilian leaders and Emperor Hirohito to face reality.

Stanley Weintraub's immensely readable The Last Great Victory is the sort of book that most scholars scorn publicly and wish secretly that they were capable of writing. An accomplished and energetic literary historian with more than twenty authored books to his credit, Weintraub has written on subjects that range from Queen Victoria to the attack on Pearl Harbor. His attitude toward documentation is maddeningly cavalier-brief source essays for each of his thirty-five chapters, and no bibliography or general bibliographic essay. The research design, an epic day-by-day history of the last month of World War II, moving back and forth among Europe, America, and Asia, shifting between the decisions of great men and the tribulations of ordinary people, precludes a systematic statement of a problem to be investigated or a strong declaration of a thesis. The book's dust jacket with its large red V superimposed on a photo of B-29s flying in formation will put off those who recoil from the specter of "American triumphalism."

Nonetheless, the book has more than its quota of ideas and arguments, clearly presented for those who want to ponder them. Weintraub does not shrink from describing the agony of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, but neither does he doubt that use of the bomb was the product of dithering Japanese statesmanship and the long, awful legacy of the years of war that had preceded it. Far more successful than Alperovitz or Wainstock at providing a sense of context for the bomb, he graphically details Japanese ruthlessness, clearly explains the extensiveness of American preparations for the invasion, and effectively reminds the reader of the continuing British war in the Far East. Moreover, he demonstrates that Japanese civilian leaders were well aware that American statements on unconditional surrender contained possibilities for the survival of the emperor as a constitutional monarch.

Robert H. Ferrell's useful, but much too slim, collection of documents begins with a very brief introduction that supports Weintraub. Ferrell points out that American casualty estimates for the invasion of Japan-minimized by Alperovitz and the Smithsonian scholars-could reasonably be projected at 250,000 or more. "American officials, from the president on down, sought single-mindedly to save the lives of U.S. soldiers and sailors," he asserts. That determination sufficiently explains the use of the bomb.

History Wars speaks to these issues only tangentially. Its main concerns involve other ramifications from the Smithsonian controversy. Although the tenor and quality of their contributions vary considerably, the authors all concur that "history" was dealt a setback by the final outcome, which they depict as the triumph of an unenlightened political right over the results of rational scholarship. Many of the issues they cover are complicated. What are the appropriate limits for a national museum whose exhibits inevitably have a quasi-official imprimatur? Do museum curators as exhibit developers have the same leeway customarily granted to academic lecturers and authors? How does the controversy relate to the wider "culture wars" of our time? (The contributors deplore the latter phenomenon, although a couple of them seem to be enthusiastic participants in it. ) Space precludes a discussion of these topics.

What does emerge, especially from Edward T. Linenthal's useful introductory essay, is a picture of a Smithsonian leadership determined to break away from the neutral-to-celebratory stance that had previously characterized the institution's exhibitions. The new purpose would be to provoke thought by displaying complexity and highlighting scholarship that dissented from prevailing national myths. In the case of the National Air and Space Museum, this involved a difficult dance around a congressional mandate that prescribed patriotic inspiration. It also meant predictable difficulties in dealing with well-established veteran constituencies that expected meaningful input and respect. The curatorial team that developed the exhibit script consisted of scholars too young to remember World War II; its members chose to depict the bombing of Hiroshima not simply as the last act in a long and savage war that had consumed millions of lives but also as the beginning of a nuclear age that threatened the survival of humanity, a point that could be demonstrated only by devoting considerable attention to the horrors of Hiroshima.

The Air Force Association, the American Legion, and other veterans groups reacted with outrage, quickly concluding that they were the victims of a group of condescending eggheads; many other observers, including the editorial board of the Washington Post, joined in the criticism. The Smithsonian response was somehow always too little, too late; the unhappy results included the departure of the institution's head, the resignation of the Air and Space Museum's director, the cancellation of the exhibit, and numerous damaged careers. The final precipitating incident was the curatorial insistence on placing in the final draft of the script the assertion that the cost of not using the bomb would have been 63,000 American casualties. The figure, drawn from an unclear reference in Adm. William Leahy's diary, had little evidentiary basis; it was less than half that projected in Joint Chiefs of Staff planning documents, which were themselves based on unrealistically low estimates of Japanese defenders. It was also irrelevant; no conceivable American president would have withheld the bomb for so large a cost. The exhibition was at least in some respects not very good history.

Some defenders of the exhibit asserted that the cancellation was reminiscent of George Orwell's 1984 (1949). The simile is surely inaccurate. On Orwell's Airstrip One, an authoritative government dictated historical memory to a passive population. In the Smithsonian controversy, a broad segment of public opinion rejected an interpretation of history advanced by scholars mustering the authority of both an official institution and their own academic credentials. Nor was the episode a defeat for "history"; an equally prominent, equally credentialed group of historians could easily have produced a far different interpretation. Rather it was a sobering reminder that professional historians face a skeptical public inclined to discard their assertions if these challenge widely held beliefs without convincing evidence. Such is the price of living in a pluralist democracy.

The major questions about the events of the summer of 1945 are for the most part moral, or at least nonempirical. Who can disprove a belief that any resolution of World War II would have been preferable to the atomic solution? Who can say with absolute assurance that the second bomb was necessary? Who can prove that it was necessary to drop the second bomb just three days after the first? Who will ever know for certain that Japan would not have been forced by hunger, fuel shortages, and infrastructure collapse to surrender before an invasion?

But most of us also have talked to veterans, British as well as Americans, recounting their roles in the planned invasion of Malaya or Japan and ending with the conclusion, "The atomic bomb saved my life." Such beliefs, reflecting the sentiments of men who lived and breathed a desperate situation that we can scarcely comprehend, were also part of the historical reality of 1945. The documents do not refute them, and historical method does not require us to ignore them.

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